Anthropic
Anthropic

Claude Opus 4.8

anthropic-claude-opus-4-8

Live portfolios WeeklyMonthly First run 2026-05-28
Live portfolios 25 25 open rounds
Completed rounds 31 scored rounds
Beat S&P 500 45.2% all completed tracks
Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.10 pp completed average
Model insights

What The Benchmark Flags For Claude Opus 4.8

Behavior and performance notes connected to this model, with fallback context from model-behavior and attribution signals.

Performance AttributionJun 9-Jul 9
Monthly resultCB-2026-06-09-1M6 modelsModel: Claude Opus 4.8Resolved result

Claude Opus 4.8's result was driven by Healthcare Sector

In the latest monthly result, Healthcare Sector contributed +1.61% to Claude Opus 4.8's portfolio. No holding detracted; the smallest positive contribution came from Short-Term Treasury Bills at +0.04%.

Attribution multiplies each frozen holding's weight by its asset return to show what helped or hurt the model portfolio.

High confidenceMath: deterministicData through Jul 9, 2026
Largest Positive Contribution
+1.61%
Smallest Positive Contribution
+0.04%
Why it matters

Attribution turns a model score into an explanation of which holdings actually helped or hurt the frozen portfolio.

Market EnvironmentAs of Jul 9
Weekly market environments12 resolved rounds2 modelsReady sample

Weekly model leadership changes with the S&P 500 environment

Claude Opus 4.8 leads down environments at -2.70% across 8 tests; GPT-5.5 leads up environments at +2.11% across 4 tests.

Market environments group resolved rounds by the S&P 500 return over the same weekly or monthly window. Models are compared only on shared rounds; high confidence requires at least six observations and stable leadership.

Medium confidenceMath: deterministicData through Jul 9, 2026
Down Leader Average Return
-2.70%
Down Shared Rounds
8
Down Leader Stability
0.88
Why it matters

Leadership that changes with the broad-market backdrop shows why a single all-history ranking can hide meaningful model strengths and weaknesses.

Market EnvironmentAs of Jul 9
Weekly down environments8 resolved rounds1 modelModel: Claude Opus 4.8Ready sample

Claude Opus 4.8 leads when the S&P 500 is negative

The model averaged -2.70% across 8 shared-cohort rounds drawn from 8 resolved weekly down environments. The sample meets publication thresholds.

Market environments group resolved rounds by the S&P 500 return over the same weekly or monthly window. Models are compared only on shared rounds; high confidence requires at least six observations and stable leadership.

Medium confidenceMath: deterministicData through Jul 9, 2026
Average Model Return
-2.70%
Average S&P 500 Return
-2.01%
Capitalbench Score
-46.9
Behavior vs peers

Balanced allocator

Shows a mixed profile without one dominant allocation behavior standing out yet.

Risk-taking score 72.1 / 100 0 defensive to 100 aggressive
Average top holding 29.2% concentration of the largest position
Peer overlap 59.2% closest to Claude Opus 4.7
Average turnover 46.0% round-to-round portfolio change
Peer-relative read

Closest behavior match: Claude Opus 4.7

Average peer overlap is 59.2% across matching official rounds. It was a clear allocation outlier in 5 rounds.

High-risk exposure
57.6%
Defensive exposure
11.9%
Tech exposure
27.0%
Live risk change
+2.4 pts
Most used assets
Semiconductors (SMH) ai and technology 16.1%
Healthcare Sector (XLV) us sector 13.0%
Financials Sector (XLF) us sector 9.2%
Industrials Sector (XLI) us sector 7.5%
US Momentum Equities (MTUM) us factor equity 6.3%
S&P 500 (SPY) us broad market 5.5%
Current live holdings

Open Portfolios Waiting For Scores

Completed rounds are excluded here, so this view shows only the model's still-open weekly and monthly portfolios.

All Live25 open portfolios
24 assets
Completed rounds are excluded from this live view.Next scoring target: 2026-07-13
Live mark-to-market

Current Return Before Final Scores

Latest available close for live rounds only. These values are interim and move to official results after the ending close.

Weekly live
Portfolio
-0.99%
S&P 500
+0.48%
Portfolio Minus S&P 500
-1.47 pp
3 open tests
Monthly live
Portfolio
-0.64%
S&P 500
+1.21%
Portfolio Minus S&P 500
-1.85 pp
18 open tests
CB-2026-07-08-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +0.07% S&P 500 +0.85% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.78 pp CB-2026-07-07-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.79% S&P 500 +0.53% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.32 pp CB-2026-07-06-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -1.38% S&P 500 +0.06% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.43 pp CB-2026-07-02-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.91% S&P 500 +0.93% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.84 pp CB-2026-07-01-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +0.14% S&P 500 +0.80% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.66 pp CB-2026-06-30-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +0.63% S&P 500 +0.66% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.03 pp CB-2026-06-29-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.07% S&P 500 +1.45% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.51 pp CB-2026-06-26-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +1.32% S&P 500 +3.12% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.79 pp CB-2026-06-25-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +0.26% S&P 500 +2.37% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -2.11 pp CB-2026-06-24-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +1.60% S&P 500 +2.52% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.92 pp CB-2026-06-23-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +1.54% S&P 500 +2.47% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.93 pp CB-2026-06-22-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -4.46% S&P 500 +0.98% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -5.44 pp CB-2026-06-18-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -2.28% S&P 500 +0.67% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -2.95 pp CB-2026-06-17-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -1.06% S&P 500 +1.45% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -2.51 pp CB-2026-06-16-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -2.95% S&P 500 +0.18% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -3.13 pp CB-2026-07-08-1W weekly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.12% S&P 500 +0.85% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.96 pp CB-2026-06-15-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -3.91% S&P 500 -0.41% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -3.50 pp CB-2026-07-07-1W weekly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -1.07% S&P 500 +0.53% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.60 pp CB-2026-07-06-1W weekly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -1.79% S&P 500 +0.06% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.84 pp CB-2026-06-13-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.61% S&P 500 +1.34% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.95 pp CB-2026-06-12-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +1.39% S&P 500 +1.89% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.50 pp
Scored record

Weekly And Monthly Results Stay Separate

Weekly record

8 wins / 23 completed

Avg return -0.38%
S&P 500 -0.02%
Avg Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.36 pp
Hit rate 39.1%
Avg rank 2.5
Best round CB-2026-06-13-1W
Monthly record

3 wins / 8 completed

Avg return +0.11%
S&P 500 -0.55%
Avg Portfolio Minus S&P 500 +0.66 pp
Hit rate 62.5%
Avg rank 2.1
Best round CB-2026-05-28-1M
Equal-run benchmark sets

Benchmark Sets Including This Model

These are the equal-run rankings this model belongs to. Each set compares a fixed roster only on rounds every model in that roster completed.

Weekly · Current

May 28, 2026 roster

Weekly comparison set that adds Claude Opus 4.8 to the established model roster.

Open full set
#1 Rank in set -4.5 CapitalBench Score -8.7% Total return 23 Shared rounds

Current Weekly Benchmark

CapitalBench Score

Claude Opus 4.8 This model
Grok 4.3
Claude Opus 4.7
GPT-5.5
Gemini 3.1 Pro
S&P 500
Max possible What is this? Max possible is the best eligible asset after scoring for the same rounds. It is a hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio. hindsight best asset

Higher benchmark score is better.

Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic · 23/23 scored rounds
-4.5
Grok 4.3 xAI · 23/23 scored rounds
-7.0
Claude Opus 4.7 Anthropic · 23/23 scored rounds
-8.4
GPT-5.5 OpenAI · 23/23 scored rounds
-17.3
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google · 23/23 scored rounds
-19.7
S&P 500 S&P 500 · 23/23 scored rounds
-0.2
Max possible Hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio
What is this? Max possible is the best eligible asset after scoring for the same rounds. It is a hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio. 100.0
23 shared resolved rounds5 equal-run models rankedQualified at 6+ shared roundsNewest included round: CB-2026-07-02-1W
Return context

Average Return Details

Average portfolio return across the same finished rounds.

Anthropic Claude Opus 4.8
-0.38%
xAI Grok 4.3
-0.58%
Anthropic Claude Opus 4.7
-0.70%
OpenAI GPT-5.5
-1.45%
Google Gemini 3.1 Pro
-1.64%
S&P S&P 500
-0.02%
MAX Max possible What is this? Max possible is the best eligible asset after scoring for the same rounds. It is a hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio.
8.33%
Fairness rule: every ranked model completed every included round. A missed round is excluded from this set for everyone.
Performance chart

Portfolio Minus S&P 500 By Completed Round

Bars to the right mean the portfolio return was higher than the S&P 500 return. Bars to the left mean it was lower.

Portfolio pattern

What This Model Has Tended To Hold

Calculated from all saved official portfolios for this model, including open and completed rounds.

Cumulative risk appetite

Growth

Usually favors equities, sectors, or thematic growth exposure.

3.79 / 5 allocation-weighted score
Claude Opus 4.8 3.79
57.6% high-risk exposure 27.0% technology exposure 11.9% defensive ballast
Risk appetite 3.79 / 5
Saved portfolios 56
Avg holdings 5.0
Avg top holding 29.2%
Most common top holding Semiconductors (SMH)
Most frequently held assets
Semiconductors (SMH) AI and Technology 57.1% held 16.1% avg
Healthcare Sector (XLV) US Sector 53.6% held 13.0% avg
Financials Sector (XLF) US Sector 41.1% held 9.2% avg
Industrials Sector (XLI) US Sector 41.1% held 7.5% avg
US Momentum Equities (MTUM) US Factor Equity 30.4% held 6.3% avg
Taiwan Equities (EWT) Country Equity 30.4% held 4.5% avg
Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) Cash and Short Duration 30.4% held 4.2% avg
Average allocation by category
US Sector 38.0%
AI and Technology 17.9%
US Factor Equity 10.9%
US Broad Market 7.7%
Country Equity 5.6%
US Industry 5.5%
Cash and Short Duration 4.2%
Round history

Saved Portfolios And Results

Round Track Window Portfolio Result
CB-2026-07-10-1W official-20260710 weekly 2026-07-10 to 2026-07-17 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%TAIWAN 20.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%SP500 20.0%INDUSTRIALS 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 20.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 20.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 10.0%
Rationale

Overweight AI-semiconductor complex and financials into concrete earnings catalysts, balanced by broad-market and industrial cyclical exposure.

CB-2026-07-10-1M official-20260710 monthly 2026-07-10 to 2026-08-10 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%FINANCIALS 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0%TAIWAN 15.0%CYBERSECURITY 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 10.0%
Rationale

Tilt toward semiconductors and financials with earnings catalysts inside the window, supplemented by industrials breadth and cybersecurity momentum.

CB-2026-07-09-1W official-20260709 weekly 2026-07-09 to 2026-07-16 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%FINANCIALS 25.0%NASDAQ100 20.0%HEALTHCARE 15.0%CYBERSECURITY 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 20.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 15.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 10.0%
Rationale

Concentrate in catalyst-rich, momentum-supported equity areas with a defensive healthcare buffer to outperform SPY over the one-week window.

CB-2026-07-09-1M official-20260709 monthly 2026-07-09 to 2026-08-07 FINANCIALS 25.0%HEALTHCARE 20.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 20.0%SP500 20.0%CYBERSECURITY 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 20.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 20.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 15.0%
Rationale

Concentrate in recent relative leaders with fundamental/catalyst support while keeping a broad-market core to limit downside versus SPY.

CB-2026-07-08-1W official-20260708 weekly 2026-07-08 to 2026-07-15 HEALTHCARE 25.0%FINANCIALS 25.0%ENERGY 20.0%UTILITIES 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 20.0% Utilities Sector (XLU) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight relative-strength defensives and near-term earnings/oil catalysts while holding short duration cash to buffer rate and geopolitical risk.

CB-2026-07-08-1M official-20260708 monthly 2026-07-08 to 2026-08-07 FINANCIALS 25.0%HEALTHCARE 25.0%LOW_VOL 20.0%UTILITIES 15.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 20.0% Utilities Sector (XLU) 15.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight financials, healthcare, low-vol, utilities, and defense for resilient alpha in a choppy, late-cycle macro backdrop.

CB-2026-07-07-1W official-20260707 weekly 2026-07-07 to 2026-07-14 FINANCIALS 30.0%HEALTHCARE 25.0%LOW_VOL 20.0%LARGE_VALUE 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Financials Sector (XLF) 30.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 20.0% US Large-Cap Value (IWD) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 10.0%
Rationale

Defensive/value equity plus financials earnings catalyst, cushioned by short Treasuries, to seek alpha over SPY through a CPI- and Fed-minutes-heavy week.

CB-2026-07-07-1M official-20260707 monthly 2026-07-07 to 2026-08-07 FINANCIALS 25.0%HEALTHCARE 25.0%LARGE_VALUE 20.0%INDUSTRIALS 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% US Large-Cap Value (IWD) 20.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight defensive/value equity leadership (financials, healthcare, value, industrials) with a T-bill buffer, avoiding stretched high-beta tech/semis showing recent sharp weakness.

CB-2026-07-06-1W official-20260706 weekly 2026-07-06 to 2026-07-13 FINANCIALS 30.0%INDUSTRIALS 25.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 20.0%HEALTHCARE 15.0%SP500 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Financials Sector (XLF) 30.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 25.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 20.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 15.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 10.0%
Rationale

Overweight cyclicals showing broad participation and 52w highs, with healthcare and SPY ballast for a one-week close-to-close window.

CB-2026-07-06-1M official-20260706 monthly 2026-07-06 to 2026-08-06 FINANCIALS 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0%HEALTHCARE 20.0%SP500 20.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 20.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight sectors showing durable outperformance and near-term catalysts while keeping a defensive and index anchor for stability.

CB-2026-07-02-1W official-20260702 weekly 2026-07-02 to 2026-07-09 HEALTHCARE 30.0%FINANCIALS 25.0%LOW_VOL 20.0%LARGE_VALUE 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 10.0% -1.60 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 20.0% US Large-Cap Value (IWD) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 10.0%
Rationale

Overweight healthcare, financials, low-vol and value leadership with a cash-like anchor to seek positive alpha versus SPY in a low-catalyst week.

CB-2026-07-02-1M official-20260702 monthly 2026-07-02 to 2026-07-31 FINANCIALS 25.0%HEALTHCARE 20.0%LARGE_VALUE 20.0%EQUAL_WEIGHT_SP500 20.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% US Large-Cap Value (IWD) 20.0% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 20.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight sectors with positive benchmark-relative momentum, catalysts, and lower drawdown while avoiding the weak, high-volatility AI/semis complex.

CB-2026-07-01-1W official-20260701-with-fable weekly 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-08 HEALTHCARE 30.0%FINANCIALS 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0%LOW_VOL 15.0%SP500 10.0% +0.45 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 15.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 10.0%
Rationale

Overweight healthcare/financials/industrials for continued relative strength backed by macro data, buffered by low-vol and core SPX to limit tracking error.

CB-2026-07-01-1M official-20260701-with-fable monthly 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-31 FINANCIALS 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0%HEALTHCARE 20.0%EQUAL_WEIGHT_SP500 20.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 20.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight financials, industrials, healthcare, and equal-weight to capture broadening leadership and bank earnings while diversifying away from tech concentration risk.

CB-2026-06-30-1W official-20260630-no-fable-clean weekly 2026-06-30 to 2026-07-07 SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0%NASDAQ100 20.0%EQUAL_WEIGHT_SP500 20.0%HEALTHCARE 15.0% -3.27 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0% Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 20.0% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 20.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight momentum-leading cyclicals and tech with diversified broad-market ballast to capture continued risk-on breadth while limiting concentration risk.

CB-2026-06-30-1M official-20260630-no-fable-clean monthly 2026-06-30 to 2026-07-30 INDUSTRIALS 25.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%HEALTHCARE 20.0%EQUAL_WEIGHT_SP500 20.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Industrials Sector (XLI) 25.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 20.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight sectors with confirmed breadth and near-term earnings/macro catalysts while limiting exposure to overheated semis and volatile commodities/crypto.

CB-2026-06-29-1W official-20260629-no-fable weekly 2026-06-29 to 2026-07-06 HEALTHCARE 30.0%BIOTECH 20.0%LOW_VOL 20.0%INDUSTRIALS 15.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 15.0% -1.12 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 20.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 20.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 15.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight healthcare/biotech momentum with fundamental sector breadth, add semis on Micron catalyst and industrials on PMI strength, balanced by low-vol defensiveness ahead of key labor data.

CB-2026-06-29-1M official-20260629-no-fable-clean monthly 2026-06-29 to 2026-07-29 SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0%HEALTHCARE 20.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%SP500 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight semis on Micron's exceptional results and supply-demand backdrop, paired with cyclical and defensive sector diversification and broad market core.

CB-2026-06-26-1W official-20260626-no-fable weekly 2026-06-26 to 2026-07-02 HEALTHCARE 30.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 20.0%LOW_VOL 20.0%MID_CAP 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 15.0% -1.33 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 20.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 20.0% US Mid-Cap Stocks (IJH) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 15.0%
Rationale

Favor catalyst-supported healthcare and breadth-positive non-mega-cap exposure over AI-heavy indexes, with defensive cushioning.

CB-2026-06-26-1M official-20260626-no-fable monthly 2026-06-26 to 2026-07-24 HEALTHCARE 30.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%EQUAL_WEIGHT_SP500 20.0%INDUSTRIALS 15.0%LOW_VOL 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 20.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 15.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight sectors with current leadership and fundamental catalysts (healthcare regulatory, financials/curve, industrials PMI) plus equal-weight and low-vol to capture market breadth while limiting mega-cap AI drawdown exposure.

CB-2026-06-25-1W official-20260625-no-fable weekly 2026-06-25 to 2026-07-02 HEALTHCARE 25.0%BIOTECH 20.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0%DIVIDEND 20.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 15.0% +1.34 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 20.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0% US Dividend Equities (SCHD) 20.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 15.0%
Rationale

Rotate into healthcare, industrials, biotech, banks, and dividends that are outperforming during the Nasdaq drawdown, balancing defensive low-beta names with PMI-supported cyclicals.

CB-2026-06-25-1M official-20260625-no-fable monthly 2026-06-25 to 2026-07-24 INDUSTRIALS 25.0%HEALTHCARE 20.0%LARGE_VALUE 20.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 20.0%FINANCIALS 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Industrials Sector (XLI) 25.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% US Large-Cap Value (IWD) 20.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 20.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight industrials, value, healthcare, and financials for catalyst-backed relative strength, with a fundamentals-driven semiconductor stake from Micron's earnings beat.

CB-2026-06-24-1W official-20260624-no-fable weekly 2026-06-24 to 2026-07-01 FINANCIALS 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0%MID_CAP 20.0%HEALTHCARE 20.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 15.0% +0.57 pp
Full portfolio
Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0% US Mid-Cap Stocks (IJH) 20.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight relative-strength cyclicals and defensives benefiting from improved breadth and falling yields, underweighting mega-cap tech that is pressuring the benchmark.

CB-2026-06-24-1M official-20260624-no-fable monthly 2026-06-24 to 2026-07-24 INDUSTRIALS 25.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%EQUAL_WEIGHT_SP500 20.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 20.0%HEALTHCARE 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Industrials Sector (XLI) 25.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 20.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 20.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 15.0%
Rationale

Favor broadening participation and concrete fundamental catalysts over concentrated mega-cap tech, which is dragging the cap-weighted index, while holding a defensive healthcare anchor.

CB-2026-06-23-1W official-20260623-no-fable weekly 2026-06-23 to 2026-06-30 BIOTECH 25.0%SMALL_CAP 25.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 20.0%SHORT_TREASURY 15.0%MOMENTUM 15.0% +1.62 pp
Full portfolio
Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0% US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 25.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 20.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 15.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 15.0%
Rationale

Lean into the breadth-positive, non-mega-cap segments showing recent relative strength while holding a cash-like buffer against renewed tech volatility and sticky inflation.

CB-2026-06-23-1M official-20260623-no-fable monthly 2026-06-23 to 2026-07-23 MOMENTUM 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0%SMALL_CAP 20.0%TAIWAN 20.0%BIOTECH 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0% US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 20.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 20.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 15.0%
Rationale

Capture rotation away from concentrated mega-cap tech weakness into breadth leaders (small caps, industrials, momentum, biotech) plus quality semiconductor exposure via Taiwan.

CB-2026-06-22-1W official-20260622-no-fable weekly 2026-06-22 to 2026-06-29 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%SP500 30.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%SHORT_TREASURY 10.0%BIOTECH 10.0% -1.01 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 30.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 10.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 10.0%
Rationale

Momentum continuation in semis/momentum factor plus benchmark core, hedged with short-duration Treasuries.

CB-2026-06-22-1M official-20260622-no-fable monthly 2026-06-22 to 2026-07-22 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%SP500 30.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%INDUSTRIALS 10.0%TAIWAN 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 30.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 10.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 10.0%
Rationale

Combine AI/semiconductor and momentum continuation with a benchmark core and cyclical industrials for a balanced pro-trend stance into the July exit.

CB-2026-06-18-1W official-20260618-no-fable weekly 2026-06-18 to 2026-06-25 SP500 40.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0%NASDAQ100 20.0%SHORT_TREASURY 15.0% -0.50 pp
Full portfolio
S&P 500 (SPY) 40.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0% Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 20.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 15.0%
Rationale

Risk-on continuation in dominant US tech/large-cap leadership, partially hedged with cash-like BIL.

CB-2026-06-18-1M official-20260618-no-fable monthly 2026-06-18 to 2026-07-20 SP500 40.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0%NASDAQ100 20.0%INDUSTRIALS 10.0%GOLD 5.0% Pending
Full portfolio
S&P 500 (SPY) 40.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0% Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 20.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 10.0% Gold (IAU) 5.0%
Rationale

Tilt toward continuation in tech/semis and broad large-caps given strong momentum and solid macro, with modest diversification into industrials and gold.

CB-2026-06-17-1W official-20260617-no-fable weekly 2026-06-17 to 2026-06-24 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%SOUTH_KOREA 20.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%TAIWAN 15.0%INDUSTRIALS 15.0% -0.18 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 20.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 15.0%
Rationale

Concentrated in AI/semiconductor-led momentum that has shown the strongest recent trend, expecting continuation through the close-to-close window.

CB-2026-06-17-1M official-20260617-no-fable monthly 2026-06-17 to 2026-07-17 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0%TAIWAN 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 15.0%
Rationale

Concentrate in trend-leading semiconductors, momentum, and Taiwan while balancing with industrials and short-duration cash to manage rate/inflation risk over the close-to-close month.

CB-2026-06-16-1W official-20260616-no-fable weekly 2026-06-16 to 2026-06-23 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%SOUTH_KOREA 20.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%NASDAQ100 15.0%FINANCIALS 15.0% +0.78 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 20.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 15.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 15.0%
Rationale

Momentum-led growth/semiconductor allocation captures persistent leadership over a short holiday-shortened window.

CB-2026-06-16-1M official-20260616-no-fable monthly 2026-06-16 to 2026-07-16 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%MOMENTUM 25.0%SOUTH_KOREA 15.0%INDUSTRIALS 15.0%GOLD 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 25.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 15.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 15.0% Gold (IAU) 15.0%
Rationale

Momentum-led growth concentration in semis/AI with diversification into industrials and a gold inflation/event hedge.

CB-2026-06-15-1W official-20260615-no-fable weekly 2026-06-15 to 2026-06-22 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%NASDAQ100 25.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%SOUTH_KOREA 10.0%FINANCIALS 10.0% +3.25 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 25.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 10.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 10.0%
Rationale

Concentrate in semiconductors, Nasdaq, and momentum with a chip-country and financials cyclical kicker to maximize alpha versus SPY in a risk-on week.

CB-2026-06-15-1M official-20260615-no-fable monthly 2026-06-15 to 2026-07-15 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%NASDAQ100 25.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%TAIWAN 15.0%GOLD 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 25.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% Gold (IAU) 10.0%
Rationale

Overweight the AI/tech and momentum complex showing the strongest trend and breadth, with a gold hedge against policy or geopolitical surprises within the one-month window.

CB-2026-06-13-1W official-20260613 weekly 2026-06-12 to 2026-06-18 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%MOMENTUM 25.0%SMALL_CAP 20.0%TAIWAN 15.0%NASDAQ100 10.0% +3.87 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 25.0% US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 20.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 10.0%
Rationale

Lean into the strongest trending risk assets (semis, momentum, small caps) supported by disinflation and lower rates into the June FOMC.

CB-2026-06-13-1M official-20260613-no-fable monthly 2026-06-12 to 2026-07-13 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%MOMENTUM 25.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 15.0%MID_CAP 15.0%TECHNOLOGY 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 25.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 15.0% US Mid-Cap Stocks (IJH) 15.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight the strongest-momentum, rate-sensitive-favorable equity exposures to beat SPY over the one-month window as financial conditions ease.

CB-2026-06-12-1W official-20260612-clean weekly 2026-06-11 to 2026-06-18 CONSUMER_STAPLES 25.0%LOW_VOL 25.0%HEALTHCARE 20.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 15.0% -2.46 pp
Full portfolio
Consumer Staples Sector (XLP) 25.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 25.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 15.0%
Rationale

Tilt defensive into FOMC and sticky-inflation week: staples, low-vol, healthcare, and aerospace/defense led on relative strength while tech sold off; short Treasuries provide ballast.

CB-2026-06-12-1M official-20260612 monthly 2026-06-11 to 2026-07-13 HEALTHCARE 25.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 20.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 20.0%DIVIDEND 20.0%SHORT_TREASURY 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 20.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 20.0% US Dividend Equities (SCHD) 20.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 15.0%
Rationale

Tilt toward leadership and lower-rate-sensitivity sectors while trimming concentration risk in the cap-weighted index that just sold off 2.5% in 7 days.

CB-2026-06-09-1W official-20260609 weekly 2026-06-09 to 2026-06-16 HEALTHCARE 35.0%LOW_VOL 25.0%CONSUMER_STAPLES 20.0%DIVIDEND 10.0%SHORT_TREASURY 10.0% -1.47 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 35.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 25.0% Consumer Staples Sector (XLP) 20.0% US Dividend Equities (SCHD) 10.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 10.0%
Rationale

Tilt defensive into CPI/PPI/FOMC-eve risk via healthcare, low-vol, staples, and dividends with a short-Treasury buffer.

CB-2026-06-09-1M official-20260609 monthly 2026-06-09 to 2026-07-09 HEALTHCARE 30.0%DIVIDEND 20.0%LARGE_VALUE 20.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 15.0% +0.85 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% US Dividend Equities (SCHD) 20.0% US Large-Cap Value (IWD) 20.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 15.0%
Rationale

Defensive, value-tilted equity allocation favoring sectors with positive recent momentum and lower drawdown risk into June CPI and the FOMC, with short-duration Treasury ballast.

CB-2026-06-08-1W official-20260608 weekly 2026-06-08 to 2026-06-15 HEALTHCARE 35.0%ENERGY 20.0%LARGE_VALUE 20.0%CONSUMER_STAPLES 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 10.0% -1.96 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 35.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 20.0% US Large-Cap Value (IWD) 20.0% Consumer Staples Sector (XLP) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 10.0%
Rationale

Rotate toward defensive and inflation-resilient sectors ahead of CPI/PPI and FOMC positioning, avoiding the high-beta tech/growth that led the recent selloff.

CB-2026-06-08-1M official-20260608 monthly 2026-06-08 to 2026-07-08 HEALTHCARE 30.0%ENERGY 25.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 20.0%INDUSTRIALS 15.0%SHORT_TREASURY 10.0% +1.70 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 25.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 20.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 15.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 10.0%
Rationale

Overweight defensive and real-asset cyclical sectors showing relative strength while holding a short-Treasury buffer for the CPI/PPI/FOMC catalyst cluster.

CB-2026-06-05-1W official-20260605 weekly 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-12 HEALTHCARE 30.0%ENERGY 20.0%SHORT_TREASURY 20.0%CONSUMER_STAPLES 15.0%FINANCIALS 15.0% +0.29 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 20.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 20.0% Consumer Staples Sector (XLP) 15.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 15.0%
Rationale

Tilt defensive and toward inflation winners ahead of in-window CPI/PPI, favoring sectors showing positive recent relative strength versus a falling S&P 500.

CB-2026-06-05-1M official-20260605-r3 monthly 2026-06-05 to 2026-07-06 HEALTHCARE 30.0%ENERGY 25.0%SHORT_TREASURY 20.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0%DIVIDEND 10.0% -0.51 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 25.0% Short-Term Treasury Bills (BIL) 20.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0% US Dividend Equities (SCHD) 10.0%
Rationale

Favor inflation-resilient and defensive sectors with positive momentum over richly valued mega-cap growth, with a cash buffer for volatility around June CPI/PCE and the June 17 FOMC.

CB-2026-06-03-1W official-20260603 weekly 2026-06-02 to 2026-06-09 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%TECHNOLOGY 25.0%BROAD_AI_TECH 20.0%SP500 15.0%TAIWAN 10.0% -4.21 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 25.0% Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 20.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 15.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 10.0%
Rationale

Concentrate in leading semiconductor and AI-technology momentum with an SP500 anchor to capture continued trend into the one-week exit close.

CB-2026-06-03-1M official-20260603 monthly 2026-06-02 to 2026-07-02 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%TECHNOLOGY 25.0%SP500 20.0%TAIWAN 15.0%GOLD 10.0% -3.87 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 25.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 20.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% Gold (IAU) 10.0%
Rationale

Overweight semis and tech leveraging strong AI capex and chip-sales momentum, with SP500 ballast and gold as an inflation/risk hedge.

CB-2026-06-02-1W official-20260602-clean weekly 2026-06-01 to 2026-06-08 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%TECHNOLOGY 25.0%TAIWAN 15.0%MOMENTUM 15.0%SP500 15.0% -0.72 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 25.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 15.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 15.0%
Rationale

Concentrate in semiconductor/tech momentum leaders supported by AI capex and strong trailing returns, anchored by SP500 to manage benchmark-relative risk.

CB-2026-06-02-1M official-20260602 monthly 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-01 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%TAIWAN 20.0%BROAD_AI_TECH 20.0%TECHNOLOGY 15.0%CYBERSECURITY 15.0% -0.98 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 20.0% Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 20.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 15.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 15.0%
Rationale

Lean into the dominant AI/semiconductor trend with diversification across chips, Taiwan supply chain, broad AI, tech sector, and cybersecurity to maximize one-month alpha.

CB-2026-06-01-1W official-20260601 weekly 2026-05-29 to 2026-06-05 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%TECHNOLOGY 25.0%TAIWAN 15.0%MOMENTUM 15.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0% -1.88 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 25.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 15.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0%
Rationale

Concentrate in high-momentum semiconductor and technology exposure backed by surging chip sales and AI spending forecasts, complemented by defense for diversification.

CB-2026-06-01-1M official-20260601 monthly 2026-05-29 to 2026-06-29 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%TECHNOLOGY 25.0%TAIWAN 15.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0%SP500 15.0% +3.16 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 25.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight semiconductors and tech where momentum and fundamentals align, with Taiwan supply-chain leverage, defense budget support, and SP500 ballast.

CB-2026-05-29-1W official-20260529-1W weekly 2026-05-29 to 2026-06-05 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%TECHNOLOGY 25.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%SOFTWARE 15.0%SP500 10.0% -2.06 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 25.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% Software (IGV) 15.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 10.0%
Rationale

Overweight semis, tech, software and momentum given AI capex strength and benign macro; SP500 anchor limits downside vs benchmark.

CB-2026-05-29-1M official-20260529-1M monthly 2026-05-29 to 2026-06-29 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%TECHNOLOGY 25.0%TAIWAN 15.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0%GOLD 15.0% +1.68 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 25.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0% Gold (IAU) 15.0%
Rationale

Overweight tech/semis momentum supported by strong AI capex and chip sales, with aerospace/defense and gold for balance.

CB-2026-05-28-1W official-20260528-1W weekly 2026-05-28 to 2026-06-04 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%TECHNOLOGY 25.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%NASDAQ100 10.0%TAIWAN 10.0% +3.25 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 25.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 10.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 10.0%
Rationale

Concentrate in semiconductor and tech momentum leaders that show the strongest short-term trend and fundamental tailwinds heading into June 4.

CB-2026-05-28-1M official-20260528-1M monthly 2026-05-28 to 2026-06-26 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%MOMENTUM 25.0%TECHNOLOGY 20.0%TAIWAN 10.0%GOLD 10.0% +3.25 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 25.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 20.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 10.0% Gold (IAU) 10.0%
Rationale

Overweight the leading AI/semiconductor and momentum complex which shows the strongest near-term trend and fundamental support, with a gold sleeve to dampen event risk around June macro releases.

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