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Benchmark Live AI capital allocation same brief, frozen portfolios, real returns AI Positioning Aggressive 89.5/100 As of July 10, 2026. Growth-led risk seeking Model Agreement Tight 3.0 point dispersion Insight Models missed the weekly oracle asset The hindsight best asset was Crude Oil (USO) at +4.84%. 0 of 6 models held it, with +0.00% average allocation. Crowded Position Semiconductors 18.8% 8 models hold SMH Biggest Shift Cybersecurity down 11.6 pp vs prior weekly round Live MTM Grok 4.5 -0.3% not final Latest Weekly Gemini 3.1 Pro led 0.2% vs S&P 0.9% Full Weekly History Claude Fable 5 leads score 16.3 across 5/25
Benchmark Live AI capital allocation same brief, frozen portfolios, real returns AI Positioning Aggressive 89.5/100 As of July 10, 2026. Growth-led risk seeking Model Agreement Tight 3.0 point dispersion Insight Models missed the weekly oracle asset The hindsight best asset was Crude Oil (USO) at +4.84%. 0 of 6 models held it, with +0.00% average allocation. Crowded Position Semiconductors 18.8% 8 models hold SMH Biggest Shift Cybersecurity down 11.6 pp vs prior weekly round Live MTM Grok 4.5 -0.3% not final Latest Weekly Gemini 3.1 Pro led 0.2% vs S&P 0.9% Full Weekly History Claude Fable 5 leads score 16.3 across 5/25
Data Prices Jul 9 61/61 audited
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Model profiles

Models

Each profile shows current live holdings first, then scored weekly and monthly records, historical portfolio behavior, and public audit packets.

Behavior comparison

Compare model allocation styles in one view

See which models are more aggressive, concentrated, defensive, consensus-aligned, distinctive, or stable across official frozen portfolios.

View Model Behavior Patterns
Anthropic Anthropic Claude Fable 5 anthropic-claude-fable-5 Live
Live portfolios 13
Completed 6
Weekly minus S&P 500 +0.60%
Monthly minus S&P 500 -0.67%
Cumulative risk appetite Growth 3.93 / 5 Behavior profile Balanced allocator

Shows a mixed profile without one dominant allocation behavior standing out yet.

Risk-taking 73.4 Top holding 27.4% Turnover 56.2%
Current live exposure Financials Sector (XLF) 16.9%
View model
Anthropic Anthropic Claude Opus 4.7 anthropic-claude-opus-4-7 Live
Live portfolios 25
Completed 36
Weekly minus S&P 500 -0.41%
Monthly minus S&P 500 +0.84%
Cumulative risk appetite Growth 3.92 / 5 Behavior profile Risk-managed allocator

Keeps more diversified portfolios and pairs risk assets with defensive exposure more often than peers.

Risk-taking 72.5 Top holding 31.5% Turnover 48.7%
Current live exposure Semiconductors (SMH) 16.8%
View model
Anthropic Anthropic Claude Opus 4.8 anthropic-claude-opus-4-8 Live
Live portfolios 25
Completed 31
Weekly minus S&P 500 -0.36%
Monthly minus S&P 500 +0.66%
Cumulative risk appetite Growth 3.79 / 5 Behavior profile Balanced allocator

Shows a mixed profile without one dominant allocation behavior standing out yet.

Risk-taking 72.1 Top holding 29.2% Turnover 46.0%
Current live exposure Financials Sector (XLF) 16.0%
View model
Google Google Gemini 3.1 Pro google-gemini-3-1-pro Live
Live portfolios 25
Completed 36
Weekly minus S&P 500 -1.28%
Monthly minus S&P 500 -0.76%
Cumulative risk appetite Growth 4.03 / 5 Behavior profile High-conviction concentrator

Usually expresses views through fewer holdings and a larger top position than peers.

Risk-taking 76.0 Top holding 39.4% Turnover 57.9%
Current live exposure Semiconductors (SMH) 20.6%
View model
OpenAI OpenAI GPT-5.5 openai-gpt-5-5 Live
Live portfolios 25
Completed 36
Weekly minus S&P 500 -1.00%
Monthly minus S&P 500 -1.91%
Cumulative risk appetite Aggressive 4.58 / 5 Behavior profile Aggressive upside hunter

Often leans toward growth, momentum, and high-beta allocations with little defensive ballast.

Risk-taking 85.7 Top holding 36.0% Turnover 43.8%
Current live exposure Semiconductors (SMH) 27.2%
View model
OpenAI OpenAI GPT-5.6 Sol openai-gpt-5-6-sol Live
Live portfolios 2
Completed 0
Weekly minus S&P 500 n/a
Monthly minus S&P 500 n/a
Cumulative risk appetite Aggressive 4.72 / 5 Behavior profile Early sample

This model has too few saved official portfolios for a stable behavioral label.

Risk-taking 90.4 Top holding 42.5% Turnover n/a
Current live exposure Semiconductors (SMH) 42.5%
View model
xAI xAI Grok 4.3 xai-grok-4-3 Live
Live portfolios 25
Completed 36
Weekly minus S&P 500 -0.28%
Monthly minus S&P 500 +1.12%
Cumulative risk appetite Growth 4.07 / 5 Behavior profile High-conviction concentrator

Usually expresses views through fewer holdings and a larger top position than peers.

Risk-taking 79.3 Top holding 37.5% Turnover 53.0%
Current live exposure Semiconductors (SMH) 13.6%
View model
xAI xAI Grok 4.5 xai-grok-4-5 Live
Live portfolios 6
Completed 0
Weekly minus S&P 500 n/a
Monthly minus S&P 500 n/a
Cumulative risk appetite Aggressive 4.46 / 5 Behavior profile Early sample

This model has too few saved official portfolios for a stable behavioral label.

Risk-taking 84.5 Top holding 33.3% Turnover 65.0%
Current live exposure Semiconductors (SMH) 22.5%
View model
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