OpenAI
OpenAI

GPT-5.5

openai-gpt-5-5

Live portfolios WeeklyMonthly First run 2026-05-10
Live portfolios 25 25 open rounds
Completed rounds 36 scored rounds
Beat S&P 500 33.3% all completed tracks
Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.28 pp completed average
Model insights

What The Benchmark Flags For GPT-5.5

Behavior and performance notes connected to this model, with fallback context from model-behavior and attribution signals.

Model BehaviorAs of Jul 10
Model behavior profiles8 models

Model allocation styles are separating into clear behavior profiles

GPT-5.6 Sol has the highest average risk-taking score at 90.4/100. GPT-5.6 Sol has the largest average top holding at +42.50%. GPT-5.5 has the lowest measured turnover at +43.81%.

Momentum exposure measures how much of the frozen portfolio went into assets that had already been recent winners before the model made its allocation.

High confidenceMath: deterministicData through Jul 10, 2026
Highest Average Risk Taking Score
90.4/100
Largest Average Top Holding
+42.5%
Lowest Average Turnover
+43.8%
Model SimilarityAs of Jul 10
Latest live portfolios2 live rounds16 modelsLive portfolios

Live model portfolios are tightly clustered

The closest live allocation pair is GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.6 Sol with +95.99% cosine similarity. The current allocation outlier is Grok 4.3.

Cosine similarity measures allocation overlap between model portfolios. A value near 1.00 means the weights are very similar.

Medium confidenceMath: deterministicData through Jul 10, 2026
Closest Pair Cosine Similarity
0.96
Outlier Average Distance
0.27
Why it matters

Similarity analysis shows whether models are independently converging on the same portfolio or expressing meaningfully different capital-allocation behavior.

Market EnvironmentAs of Jul 9
Weekly market environments12 resolved rounds2 modelsReady sample

Weekly model leadership changes with the S&P 500 environment

Claude Opus 4.8 leads down environments at -2.70% across 8 tests; GPT-5.5 leads up environments at +2.11% across 4 tests.

Market environments group resolved rounds by the S&P 500 return over the same weekly or monthly window. Models are compared only on shared rounds; high confidence requires at least six observations and stable leadership.

Medium confidenceMath: deterministicData through Jul 9, 2026
Down Leader Average Return
-2.70%
Down Shared Rounds
8
Down Leader Stability
0.88
Why it matters

Leadership that changes with the broad-market backdrop shows why a single all-history ranking can hide meaningful model strengths and weaknesses.

Behavior vs peers

Aggressive upside hunter

Often leans toward growth, momentum, and high-beta allocations with little defensive ballast.

Risk-taking score 85.7 / 100 0 defensive to 100 aggressive
Average top holding 36.0% concentration of the largest position
Peer overlap 55.9% closest to Grok 4.5
Average turnover 43.8% round-to-round portfolio change
Peer-relative read

Closest behavior match: Grok 4.5

Average peer overlap is 55.9% across matching official rounds. It was a clear allocation outlier in 14 rounds.

High-risk exposure
92.0%
Defensive exposure
1.1%
Tech exposure
48.0%
Live risk change
+4.3 pts
Most used assets
Semiconductors (SMH) ai and technology 26.6%
Biotechnology (XBI) healthcare and biotech 9.9%
Taiwan Equities (EWT) country equity 8.0%
South Korea Equities (EWY) country equity 7.7%
Regional Banks (KRE) us industry 6.1%
Healthcare Sector (XLV) us sector 4.6%
Current live holdings

Open Portfolios Waiting For Scores

Completed rounds are excluded here, so this view shows only the model's still-open weekly and monthly portfolios.

All Live25 open portfolios
18 assets
Completed rounds are excluded from this live view.Next scoring target: 2026-07-13
Live mark-to-market

Current Return Before Final Scores

Latest available close for live rounds only. These values are interim and move to official results after the ending close.

Weekly live
Portfolio
-0.33%
S&P 500
+0.48%
Portfolio Minus S&P 500
-0.81 pp
3 open tests
Monthly live
Portfolio
-1.19%
S&P 500
+1.21%
Portfolio Minus S&P 500
-2.41 pp
18 open tests
CB-2026-07-08-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +0.76% S&P 500 +0.85% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.09 pp CB-2026-07-07-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +0.85% S&P 500 +0.53% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 +0.31 pp CB-2026-07-06-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.92% S&P 500 +0.06% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.98 pp CB-2026-07-02-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.14% S&P 500 +0.93% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.07 pp CB-2026-07-01-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +0.52% S&P 500 +0.80% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.28 pp CB-2026-06-30-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -3.58% S&P 500 +0.66% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -4.24 pp CB-2026-06-29-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.75% S&P 500 +1.45% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -2.19 pp CB-2026-06-26-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +1.72% S&P 500 +3.12% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.39 pp CB-2026-06-25-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +0.48% S&P 500 +2.37% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.89 pp CB-2026-06-24-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +1.47% S&P 500 +2.52% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.05 pp CB-2026-06-23-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +3.37% S&P 500 +2.47% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 +0.90 pp CB-2026-06-22-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -6.40% S&P 500 +0.98% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -7.39 pp CB-2026-06-18-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -5.90% S&P 500 +0.67% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -6.57 pp CB-2026-06-17-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -3.85% S&P 500 +1.45% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -5.30 pp CB-2026-06-16-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -2.94% S&P 500 +0.18% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -3.12 pp CB-2026-07-08-1W weekly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.57% S&P 500 +0.85% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.42 pp CB-2026-06-15-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -6.56% S&P 500 -0.41% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -6.14 pp CB-2026-07-07-1W weekly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +0.01% S&P 500 +0.53% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.52 pp CB-2026-07-06-1W weekly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.44% S&P 500 +0.06% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.49 pp CB-2026-06-13-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -1.70% S&P 500 +1.34% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -3.04 pp CB-2026-06-12-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +2.11% S&P 500 +1.89% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 +0.22 pp
Scored record

Weekly And Monthly Results Stay Separate

Weekly record

5 wins / 25 completed

Avg return -0.91%
S&P 500 +0.09%
Avg Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.00 pp
Hit rate 28.0%
Avg rank 3.5
Best round CB-2026-06-13-1W
Monthly record

0 wins / 11 completed

Avg return -2.57%
S&P 500 -0.66%
Avg Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.91 pp
Hit rate 45.5%
Avg rank 3.9
Best round CB-2026-05-24-1M
Equal-run benchmark sets

Benchmark Sets Including This Model

These are the equal-run rankings this model belongs to. Each set compares a fixed roster only on rounds every model in that roster completed.

Weekly · Current

May 28, 2026 roster

Weekly comparison set that adds Claude Opus 4.8 to the established model roster.

Open full set
#4 Rank in set -17.3 CapitalBench Score -33.3% Total return 23 Shared rounds

Current Weekly Benchmark

CapitalBench Score

Claude Opus 4.8
Grok 4.3
Claude Opus 4.7
GPT-5.5 This model
Gemini 3.1 Pro
S&P 500
Max possible What is this? Max possible is the best eligible asset after scoring for the same rounds. It is a hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio. hindsight best asset

Higher benchmark score is better.

Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic · 23/23 scored rounds
-4.5
Grok 4.3 xAI · 23/23 scored rounds
-7.0
Claude Opus 4.7 Anthropic · 23/23 scored rounds
-8.4
GPT-5.5 OpenAI · 23/23 scored rounds
-17.3
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google · 23/23 scored rounds
-19.7
S&P 500 S&P 500 · 23/23 scored rounds
-0.2
Max possible Hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio
What is this? Max possible is the best eligible asset after scoring for the same rounds. It is a hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio. 100.0
23 shared resolved rounds5 equal-run models rankedQualified at 6+ shared roundsNewest included round: CB-2026-07-02-1W
Return context

Average Return Details

Average portfolio return across the same finished rounds.

Anthropic Claude Opus 4.8
-0.38%
xAI Grok 4.3
-0.58%
Anthropic Claude Opus 4.7
-0.70%
OpenAI GPT-5.5
-1.45%
Google Gemini 3.1 Pro
-1.64%
S&P S&P 500
-0.02%
MAX Max possible What is this? Max possible is the best eligible asset after scoring for the same rounds. It is a hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio.
8.33%
Fairness rule: every ranked model completed every included round. A missed round is excluded from this set for everyone.
Performance chart

Portfolio Minus S&P 500 By Completed Round

Bars to the right mean the portfolio return was higher than the S&P 500 return. Bars to the left mean it was lower.

CB-2026-05-10-1M monthly / rank 4 of 4 +2.42 pp CB-2026-05-17-1M monthly / rank 4 of 4 -8.85 pp CB-2026-05-24-1M monthly / rank 2 of 4 +7.01 pp CB-2026-05-24-1W weekly / rank 1 of 4 +3.63 pp CB-2026-05-27-1W weekly / rank 1 of 4 +4.30 pp CB-2026-05-28-1M monthly / rank 3 of 5 +2.96 pp CB-2026-05-28-1W weekly / rank 5 of 5 +2.14 pp CB-2026-06-01-1M monthly / rank 4 of 5 +0.80 pp CB-2026-05-29-1M monthly / rank 4 of 5 -1.13 pp CB-2026-06-01-1W weekly / rank 5 of 5 -5.61 pp CB-2026-05-29-1W weekly / rank 5 of 5 -4.30 pp CB-2026-06-02-1M monthly / rank 5 of 5 -5.64 pp CB-2026-06-02-1W weekly / rank 4 of 5 -6.05 pp CB-2026-06-03-1M monthly / rank 5 of 5 -7.99 pp CB-2026-06-03-1W weekly / rank 5 of 5 -7.35 pp CB-2026-06-05-1M monthly / rank 5 of 5 -4.89 pp CB-2026-06-05-1W weekly / rank 5 of 5 -2.44 pp CB-2026-06-08-1M monthly / rank 5 of 5 -6.22 pp CB-2026-06-08-1W weekly / rank 4 of 5 -2.71 pp CB-2026-06-09-1M monthly / rank 2 of 6 +0.52 pp CB-2026-06-09-1W weekly / rank 5 of 6 -1.67 pp CB-2026-06-12-1W weekly / rank 2 of 6 +0.61 pp CB-2026-06-13-1W weekly / rank 1 of 6 +6.05 pp CB-2026-06-15-1W weekly / rank 1 of 5 +5.22 pp CB-2026-06-16-1W weekly / rank 5 of 5 -1.50 pp CB-2026-06-17-1W weekly / rank 3 of 5 -0.36 pp CB-2026-06-18-1W weekly / rank 3 of 5 -1.05 pp CB-2026-06-22-1W weekly / rank 4 of 5 -3.43 pp CB-2026-06-23-1W weekly / rank 1 of 5 +2.68 pp CB-2026-06-24-1W weekly / rank 3 of 5 -0.01 pp CB-2026-06-25-1W weekly / rank 5 of 5 -3.90 pp CB-2026-06-26-1W weekly / rank 4 of 5 -1.01 pp CB-2026-06-29-1W weekly / rank 4 of 5 -2.82 pp CB-2026-06-30-1W weekly / rank 3 of 5 -4.11 pp CB-2026-07-01-1W weekly / rank 6 of 6 -0.12 pp CB-2026-07-02-1W weekly / rank 3 of 6 -1.16 pp
Portfolio pattern

What This Model Has Tended To Hold

Calculated from all saved official portfolios for this model, including open and completed rounds.

Cumulative risk appetite

Aggressive

Frequently leans into high-beta or narrow thematic exposure.

4.58 / 5 allocation-weighted score
GPT-5.5 4.58
92.0% high-risk exposure 48.0% technology exposure 1.1% defensive ballast
Risk appetite 4.58 / 5
Saved portfolios 61
Avg holdings 4.9
Avg top holding 36.0%
Most common top holding Semiconductors (SMH)
Most frequently held assets
Semiconductors (SMH) AI and Technology 80.3% held 26.6% avg
Biotechnology (XBI) Healthcare And Biotech 49.2% held 9.9% avg
Taiwan Equities (EWT) Country Equity 41.0% held 8.0% avg
South Korea Equities (EWY) Country Equity 41.0% held 7.7% avg
Regional Banks (KRE) US Industry 31.1% held 6.1% avg
US Momentum Equities (MTUM) US Factor Equity 24.6% held 3.7% avg
Healthcare Sector (XLV) US Sector 23.0% held 4.6% avg
Average allocation by category
AI and Technology 36.5%
Country Equity 15.7%
US Sector 14.8%
Healthcare And Biotech 9.9%
US Industry 8.8%
Commodities 5.2%
US Factor Equity 4.3%
Round history

Saved Portfolios And Results

Round Track Window Portfolio Result
CB-2026-07-10-1W official-20260710 weekly 2026-07-10 to 2026-07-17 SEMICONDUCTORS 55.0%TAIWAN 20.0%SOUTH_KOREA 10.0%TECHNOLOGY 10.0%FINANCIALS 5.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 55.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 20.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 10.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 10.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 5.0%
Rationale

Overweight semiconductors, Taiwan, and Korea to target AI hardware momentum and imminent TSMC earnings. Keep modest technology and financials exposure for breadth around market leadership and bank-report catalysts.

CB-2026-07-10-1M official-20260710 monthly 2026-07-10 to 2026-08-10 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%TAIWAN 20.0%CYBERSECURITY 20.0%FINANCIALS 15.0%BIOTECH 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 20.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 20.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 15.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 10.0%
Rationale

I favor high-beta but catalyst-supported equity themes over bonds, cash, and defensive sectors for this one-month window. Semiconductor supply-chain momentum is the core bet, complemented by earnings-sensitive financials and strong healthcare/technology subsector momentum.

CB-2026-07-09-1W official-20260709 weekly 2026-07-09 to 2026-07-16 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%TAIWAN 25.0%CYBERSECURITY 15.0%OIL 10.0%BIOTECH 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 25.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 15.0% Crude Oil (USO) 10.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 10.0%
Rationale

Favor AI semiconductor catalysts and risk-on momentum over broad benchmark exposure for a one-week alpha attempt. Oil is included as a targeted geopolitical event hedge with potential standalone upside.

CB-2026-07-09-1M official-20260709 monthly 2026-07-09 to 2026-08-07 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%CYBERSECURITY 25.0%BIOTECH 20.0%OIL 10.0%FINANCIALS 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 25.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 20.0% Crude Oil (USO) 10.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 10.0%
Rationale

I favor concentrated equity themes with visible one-month catalysts and recent relative strength, complemented by a small oil position for Middle East supply-risk convexity. The allocation is aggressive because the objective is maximum one-month return relative to SPY, not volatility control.

CB-2026-07-08-1W official-20260708 weekly 2026-07-08 to 2026-07-15 OIL 30.0%BIOTECH 25.0%ENERGY 20.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 15.0%HEALTHCARE 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Crude Oil (USO) 30.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 20.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 15.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 10.0%
Rationale

Position for oil/geopolitical continuation, biotech and healthcare relative strength, and a semiconductor rebound around TSMC sales. Avoid broad duration-sensitive bonds and broad market exposure given elevated inflation risks and rising yields.

CB-2026-07-08-1M official-20260708 monthly 2026-07-08 to 2026-08-07 BIOTECH 35.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0%HEALTHCARE 15.0%FINANCIALS 15.0%OIL 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Biotechnology (XBI) 35.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 15.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 15.0% Crude Oil (USO) 10.0%
Rationale

I favor a concentrated pro-catalyst allocation with biotech and semiconductors as the main alpha engines, balanced by healthcare and financials, plus a small oil position for geopolitical upside. The mix seeks to outperform if sector rotation and event-driven momentum continue through August 7.

CB-2026-07-07-1W official-20260707 weekly 2026-07-07 to 2026-07-14 OIL 35.0%ENERGY 25.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%BIOTECH 10.0%AGRICULTURE 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Crude Oil (USO) 35.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 25.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 10.0% Agriculture Commodities (DBA) 10.0%
Rationale

A one-week overweight to oil and energy targets the clearest fresh catalyst in the briefing, while financials have scheduled earnings before the exit close. Smaller biotech and agriculture positions add return potential and diversification but acknowledge weaker near-term catalyst support.

CB-2026-07-07-1M official-20260707 monthly 2026-07-07 to 2026-08-07 OIL 25.0%ENERGY 20.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 20.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%BIOTECH 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Crude Oil (USO) 25.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 20.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 20.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 15.0%
Rationale

Allocation is tilted toward assets with identifiable July catalysts and/or reversal potential after recent weakness, while retaining exposure to financials and biotech where recent leadership could persist. The main thesis is that geopolitical oil risk and sector earnings events can drive returns before the August 7 close.

CB-2026-07-06-1W official-20260706 weekly 2026-07-06 to 2026-07-13 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%TAIWAN 25.0%BIOTECH 20.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0%CYBERSECURITY 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 25.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 20.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 10.0%
Rationale

I overweight semiconductor-linked assets because the briefing contains concrete near-term company and supply-chain catalysts before the exit date. The remaining positions target areas with strong relative performance and plausible continuation, while acknowledging reversal risk after sharp recent gains.

CB-2026-07-06-1M official-20260706 monthly 2026-07-06 to 2026-08-06 TAIWAN 30.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%CYBERSECURITY 15.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Taiwan Equities (EWT) 30.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 15.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 10.0%
Rationale

I favor a pro-risk, catalyst-driven allocation over the S&P 500 benchmark, emphasizing areas with scheduled July earnings or sales events and recent relative strength backed by supplied fundamentals. The main bet is that AI semiconductor leadership and cyclical earnings breadth persist through the one-month window.

CB-2026-07-02-1W official-20260702 weekly 2026-07-02 to 2026-07-09 BIOTECH 30.0%HEALTHCARE 25.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0%LOW_VOL 10.0% -1.16 pp
Full portfolio
Biotechnology (XBI) 30.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 10.0%
Rationale

Favor healthcare/biotech, financials, aerospace-defense, and low-volatility equities over cap-weighted S&P 500 exposure for a one-week window marked by weak jobs data, elevated inflation, and recent factor rotation away from mega-cap tech. The portfolio keeps enough risk to seek alpha while diversifying across 5 holdings.

CB-2026-07-02-1M official-20260702 monthly 2026-07-02 to 2026-07-31 HEALTHCARE 30.0%BIOTECH 25.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 15.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 15.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 10.0%
Rationale

Soft payrolls and elevated inflation create a mixed macro backdrop, making defensive healthcare strength and earnings-driven financial exposure more attractive than broad S&P 500 beta. Biotech and regional banks increase upside potential but are balanced by larger allocations to broader healthcare and financials.

CB-2026-07-01-1W official-20260701-with-fable weekly 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-08 REGIONAL_BANKS 30.0%BIOTECH 25.0%HEALTHCARE 20.0%INDUSTRIALS 15.0%SMALL_VALUE 10.0% -0.12 pp
Full portfolio
Regional Banks (KRE) 30.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 15.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 10.0%
Rationale

Favor regional banks, biotech/healthcare, industrials, and small value over cap-weighted tech concentration. Recent relative strength is used only alongside breadth, macro data, and sector context, with explicit reversal risk acknowledged.

CB-2026-07-01-1M official-20260701-with-fable monthly 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-31 REGIONAL_BANKS 30.0%BIOTECH 25.0%SMALL_VALUE 20.0%FINANCIALS 15.0%INDUSTRIALS 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Regional Banks (KRE) 30.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 20.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 15.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 10.0%
Rationale

I expect a one-month continuation of rotation into banks, small value, industrials, and healthcare/biotech to outperform the cap-weighted S&P 500, especially if earnings and macro releases confirm solid nominal growth. The portfolio accepts elevated factor and industry risk to target benchmark-relative upside over the short scoring window.

CB-2026-06-30-1W official-20260630-no-fable-clean weekly 2026-06-30 to 2026-07-07 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%BIOTECH 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 10.0%TAIWAN 10.0% -4.11 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 10.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 10.0%
Rationale

Favor recent leadership with some macro or sector support rather than defensive assets, because the benchmark is equities and the scoring window is short. Semiconductors and biotech are the main alpha engines, with industrials and regional banks adding cyclical exposure if incoming data remain firm.

CB-2026-06-30-1M official-20260630-no-fable-clean monthly 2026-06-30 to 2026-07-30 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%BIOTECH 20.0%TAIWAN 15.0%MOMENTUM 15.0%INDUSTRIALS 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 20.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 15.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 15.0%
Rationale

I favor a pro-risk, leadership-continuation portfolio over the S&P 500 for the July window, with semiconductors as the central overweight due to scheduled industry-relevant catalysts. The mix balances AI-chip exposure with biotech, factor momentum, and industrial cyclicality.

CB-2026-06-29-1W official-20260629-no-fable weekly 2026-06-29 to 2026-07-06 SEMICONDUCTORS 45.0%BIOTECH 20.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 15.0%NASDAQ100 10.0%HEALTHCARE 10.0% -2.82 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 45.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 20.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 15.0% Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 10.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 10.0%
Rationale

Semiconductors offer the clearest near-term catalyst, while biotech, regional banks, Nasdaq exposure, and healthcare add complementary upside if macro data support continued risk appetite. The main bet is that June 29's rebound persists through the July 6 close rather than reversing after large year-to-date gains.

CB-2026-06-29-1M official-20260629-no-fable-clean monthly 2026-06-29 to 2026-07-29 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%BIOTECH 20.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 15.0%HEALTHCARE 15.0%SMALL_VALUE 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 20.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 15.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 15.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 10.0%
Rationale

A pro-risk but diversified allocation is favored because growth, employment, and PMI data remain solid while AI-linked stocks have a fresh fundamental catalyst from Micron. Healthcare and biotech add leadership outside the broad tech complex, and regional banks/small value add exposure to improving market breadth.

CB-2026-06-26-1W official-20260626-no-fable weekly 2026-06-26 to 2026-07-02 BIOTECH 35.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 25.0%SMALL_VALUE 20.0%HEALTHCARE 10.0%OIL 10.0% -1.01 pp
Full portfolio
Biotechnology (XBI) 35.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 25.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 20.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 10.0% Crude Oil (USO) 10.0%
Rationale

Positioning emphasizes one-week alpha versus SPY by favoring non-mega-cap leadership and healthcare-specific catalysts while avoiding recent AI-linked drag. The allocation remains equity-risk seeking but diversified across biotech, banks, small value, healthcare, and oil.

CB-2026-06-26-1M official-20260626-no-fable monthly 2026-06-26 to 2026-07-24 BIOTECH 30.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 25.0%SMALL_VALUE 20.0%HEALTHCARE 15.0%ENERGY 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Biotechnology (XBI) 30.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 25.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 20.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 15.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 10.0%
Rationale

Favor rotation beneficiaries over large-cap growth for the one-month window, anchored by healthcare catalysts and broadening market participation. Add selective cyclical and energy exposure where macro activity and geopolitical facts could matter before exit.

CB-2026-06-25-1W official-20260625-no-fable weekly 2026-06-25 to 2026-07-02 SEMICONDUCTORS 50.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 20.0%BIOTECH 15.0%SMALL_VALUE 15.0% -3.90 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 50.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 20.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 15.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 15.0%
Rationale

A concentrated allocation to semiconductors is paired with regional banks, biotech, and small value to capture likely post-earnings AI-chip strength and recent broadening in U.S. market leadership. The main bet is that the latest growth data and sector catalysts outweigh inflation and jobs-report risks before the July 2 close.

CB-2026-06-25-1M official-20260625-no-fable monthly 2026-06-25 to 2026-07-24 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%BIOTECH 25.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 20.0%SMALL_VALUE 15.0%INDUSTRIALS 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 20.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 15.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 10.0%
Rationale

I expect semiconductors, biotech, regional banks, small value, and industrials to outperform the S&P 500 over the month if economic resilience and risk appetite persist. The allocation is aggressive because the objective is relative one-month return rather than drawdown control.

CB-2026-06-24-1W official-20260624-no-fable weekly 2026-06-24 to 2026-07-01 SEMICONDUCTORS 50.0%BIOTECH 20.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 15.0%SMALL_VALUE 15.0% -0.01 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 50.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 20.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 15.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 15.0%
Rationale

Favor high-beta semiconductor upside from Micron's earnings catalyst plus selective exposure to recent breadth leaders outside mega-cap indices. The allocation accepts elevated volatility to maximize expected one-week alpha versus SPY.

CB-2026-06-24-1M official-20260624-no-fable monthly 2026-06-24 to 2026-07-24 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%BIOTECH 20.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 15.0%SMALL_VALUE 15.0%INDUSTRIALS 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 20.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 15.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 15.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 10.0%
Rationale

A concentrated cyclical and thematic allocation may outperform if AI hardware earnings momentum and market broadening persist through July. The main tradeoff is elevated volatility, especially in semiconductors and biotech, after strong recent moves.

CB-2026-06-23-1W official-20260623-no-fable weekly 2026-06-23 to 2026-06-30 BIOTECH 35.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 25.0%SMALL_CAP 20.0%TAIWAN 10.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 10.0% +2.68 pp
Full portfolio
Biotechnology (XBI) 35.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 25.0% US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 20.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 10.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 10.0%
Rationale

Favoring short-horizon momentum and breadth over defensive assets, with concentrated exposure to biotech, regional banks, small caps, Taiwan, and semiconductors. The portfolio is designed to beat SPY if the June 23 selloff broadens into rotation rather than a full risk-off move.

CB-2026-06-23-1M official-20260623-no-fable monthly 2026-06-23 to 2026-07-23 BIOTECH 30.0%MOMENTUM 25.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 20.0%SMALL_CAP 15.0%TAIWAN 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Biotechnology (XBI) 30.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 25.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 20.0% US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 15.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 10.0%
Rationale

Recent price action shows the S&P 500 pressured by large technology weights while broader participation and several high-beta segments remain firm. A concentrated allocation to momentum, biotech, regional banks, small caps, and Taiwan offers better upside potential than benchmark-like exposure over the one-month scoring window.

CB-2026-06-22-1W official-20260622-no-fable weekly 2026-06-22 to 2026-06-29 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%TAIWAN 25.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%SOUTH_KOREA 10.0%BIOTECH 10.0% -3.43 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 25.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 10.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 10.0%
Rationale

Recent price action favors high-beta momentum, especially semiconductors and Asian tech supply-chain equities. Biotech adds a separate high-upside risk-on sleeve, while avoiding weak commodity, crypto, and software trends.

CB-2026-06-22-1M official-20260622-no-fable monthly 2026-06-22 to 2026-07-22 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%MOMENTUM 25.0%TAIWAN 20.0%SOUTH_KOREA 10.0%BIOTECH 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 25.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 20.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 10.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 10.0%
Rationale

Given resilient growth data and strong risk appetite in selected high-beta segments, continuation appears more attractive than defensive or benchmark-only positioning for the one-month window. The allocation accepts elevated volatility to maximize expected relative return versus SPY.

CB-2026-06-18-1W official-20260618-no-fable weekly 2026-06-18 to 2026-06-25 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%SOUTH_KOREA 25.0%TAIWAN 15.0%MOMENTUM 15.0%BIOTECH 10.0% -1.05 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 25.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 15.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 10.0%
Rationale

Recent market action shows risk appetite and leadership concentrated in technology, semiconductors, and select high-beta equity areas. Over a one-week window, trend persistence appears more compelling than defensive or mean-reversion positioning despite elevated macro uncertainty.

CB-2026-06-18-1M official-20260618-no-fable monthly 2026-06-18 to 2026-07-20 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%TAIWAN 20.0%SOUTH_KOREA 20.0%MOMENTUM 15.0%BIOTECH 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 20.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 20.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 15.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 10.0%
Rationale

A concentrated pro-momentum, pro-risk allocation is expected to outperform the S&P 500 if recent AI/semiconductor leadership persists through the July close. Diversification across SMH, Taiwan, South Korea, MTUM, and biotech reduces single-ETF dependence while keeping high upside beta.

CB-2026-06-17-1W official-20260617-no-fable weekly 2026-06-17 to 2026-06-24 SOUTH_KOREA 35.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%TAIWAN 15.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 10.0%BIOTECH 10.0% -0.36 pp
Full portfolio
South Korea Equities (EWY) 35.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 10.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 10.0%
Rationale

A concentrated high-beta momentum allocation is most likely to beat SPY over a one-week window if current trends continue. The main bet is that AI/semiconductor leadership and related country exposures remain the dominant market theme into the June 24 close.

CB-2026-06-17-1M official-20260617-no-fable monthly 2026-06-17 to 2026-07-17 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%SOUTH_KOREA 25.0%TAIWAN 15.0%MOMENTUM 15.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 25.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 15.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 10.0%
Rationale

Favor recent winners with clear near-term narratives: AI semiconductors, Asian tech supply chains, momentum factor exposure, and defense. The allocation is intentionally aggressive because the objective is maximizing one-month return relative to SPY, not minimizing drawdown.

CB-2026-06-16-1W official-20260616-no-fable weekly 2026-06-16 to 2026-06-23 SOUTH_KOREA 30.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%SILVER 15.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 10.0% -1.50 pp
Full portfolio
South Korea Equities (EWY) 30.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% Silver (SLV) 15.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 10.0%
Rationale

I expect high-momentum, semiconductor-linked and precious-metal exposures to have the best chance of beating the S&P 500 over the June 16 to June 23 window. The allocation intentionally accepts high volatility to maximize expected relative return.

CB-2026-06-16-1M official-20260616-no-fable monthly 2026-06-16 to 2026-07-16 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%SOUTH_KOREA 25.0%TAIWAN 20.0%MOMENTUM 10.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 25.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 20.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 10.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 10.0%
Rationale

For a one-month contest, trend persistence and high-beta leadership appear more compelling than defensive assets despite elevated inflation and FOMC risk. The allocation is intentionally concentrated in assets with recent relative strength most likely to produce benchmark alpha if risk appetite remains constructive.

CB-2026-06-15-1W official-20260615-no-fable weekly 2026-06-15 to 2026-06-22 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%TAIWAN 20.0%SOUTH_KOREA 20.0%MOMENTUM 15.0%BIOTECH 10.0% +5.22 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 20.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 20.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 15.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 10.0%
Rationale

Reported Middle East de-escalation, falling volatility, and strong recent equity momentum favor concentrated cyclical growth and semiconductor-linked exposure. The main bet is short-term trend continuation rather than defensive positioning.

CB-2026-06-15-1M official-20260615-no-fable monthly 2026-06-15 to 2026-07-15 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%SOUTH_KOREA 25.0%TAIWAN 15.0%BROAD_AI_TECH 10.0%MOMENTUM 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 25.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 10.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 10.0%
Rationale

Allocate aggressively to semiconductors, Korea, Taiwan, broad AI tech, and momentum to maximize upside if the current risk-on growth trend continues. The construction intentionally accepts high volatility to outperform the S&P 500 over the short scoring window.

CB-2026-06-13-1W official-20260613 weekly 2026-06-12 to 2026-06-18 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%SOUTH_KOREA 25.0%TAIWAN 15.0%MOMENTUM 10.0%BITCOIN_ETF 10.0% +6.05 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 25.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 10.0% Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) 10.0%
Rationale

Favor risk-on, momentum, and semiconductor-linked exposures over broad market beta. The allocation is intentionally aggressive because scoring rewards one-week realized return relative to the S&P 500 rather than risk-adjusted stability.

CB-2026-06-13-1M official-20260613-no-fable monthly 2026-06-12 to 2026-07-13 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%SOUTH_KOREA 20.0%TAIWAN 15.0%MOMENTUM 15.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 20.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 15.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 10.0%
Rationale

Risk appetite remains supported by stable labor data, improving surveys, and a highly probable Fed hold, while the strongest realized leadership is in semiconductors and momentum. The allocation deliberately takes high-beta exposure to outperform the S&P 500 over a short scoring window.

CB-2026-06-12-1W official-20260612-clean weekly 2026-06-11 to 2026-06-18 REGIONAL_BANKS 30.0%SMALL_VALUE 25.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 10.0%CONSUMER_STAPLES 10.0% +0.61 pp
Full portfolio
Regional Banks (KRE) 30.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 25.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 10.0% Consumer Staples Sector (XLP) 10.0%
Rationale

I favor a one-week risk-on broadening trade rather than benchmark-like large-cap exposure. The allocation emphasizes domestic cyclicals and semiconductors, with consumer staples as a partial hedge against an inflation- or Fed-driven reversal.

CB-2026-06-12-1M official-20260612 monthly 2026-06-11 to 2026-07-13 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%CYBERSECURITY 20.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 20.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0%SOUTH_KOREA 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 20.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 20.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 10.0%
Rationale

Macro data show resilient growth and labor conditions with elevated inflation, making a Fed hold likely and supporting selective risk assets rather than duration. Recent momentum is strongest in semiconductors, cybersecurity, regional banks, aerospace-defense, and South Korea, so the allocation emphasizes those leadership pockets.

CB-2026-06-09-1W official-20260609 weekly 2026-06-09 to 2026-06-16 HEALTHCARE 50.0%LOW_VOL 20.0%CONSUMER_STAPLES 15.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 10.0%US_DOLLAR 5.0% -1.67 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 50.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 20.0% Consumer Staples Sector (XLP) 15.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 10.0% US Dollar (UUP) 5.0%
Rationale

Recent price action shows sharp weakness in technology and speculative assets while healthcare, staples, low volatility, and regional banks have held up. With inflation releases the main near-term catalyst and prior inflation readings elevated, the portfolio prioritizes sectors likely to outperform the S&P 500 if rates or volatility rise.

CB-2026-06-09-1M official-20260609 monthly 2026-06-09 to 2026-07-09 HEALTHCARE 30.0%ENERGY 25.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0%EQUAL_WEIGHT_SP500 10.0% +0.52 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 25.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 10.0%
Rationale

Hot inflation readings and a likely higher-for-longer policy backdrop make energy, financials, healthcare, and defense more attractive than concentrated growth for the next month. Equal-weight exposure provides some participation if breadth improves without relying heavily on the largest S&P 500 technology names.

CB-2026-06-08-1W official-20260608 weekly 2026-06-08 to 2026-06-15 ENERGY 30.0%HEALTHCARE 25.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 20.0%US_DOLLAR 15.0%INDUSTRIALS 10.0% -2.71 pp
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 30.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 20.0% US Dollar (UUP) 15.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 10.0%
Rationale

Hot inflation data, resilient labor and manufacturing indicators, elevated oil, and tight credit spreads favor value, energy, financials, and defensive healthcare over duration-sensitive growth for the one-week window. The dollar allocation adds a hedge against hotter data and risk-off conditions.

CB-2026-06-08-1M official-20260608 monthly 2026-06-08 to 2026-07-08 ENERGY 35.0%OIL 25.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0%HEALTHCARE 10.0%US_DOLLAR 5.0% -6.22 pp
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 35.0% Crude Oil (USO) 25.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 10.0% US Dollar (UUP) 5.0%
Rationale

Overweight energy/oil and semiconductors versus the benchmark, with small defensive hedges. The portfolio is positioned for persistent inflation, commodity tightness, and continued AI-led equity leadership during a macro-event-heavy window.

CB-2026-06-05-1W official-20260605 weekly 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-12 OIL 35.0%ENERGY 25.0%US_DOLLAR 15.0%HEALTHCARE 15.0%LOW_VOL 10.0% -2.44 pp
Full portfolio
Crude Oil (USO) 35.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 25.0% US Dollar (UUP) 15.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 15.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 10.0%
Rationale

Recent data show sticky inflation, elevated rates, and strong oil prices, with CPI, PPI, Treasury auctions, and EIA reports all inside the scoring window. This allocation seeks relative outperformance through oil/energy strength and defensive positioning rather than broad equity beta.

CB-2026-06-05-1M official-20260605-r3 monthly 2026-06-05 to 2026-07-06 ENERGY 30.0%OIL 20.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 20.0%CYBERSECURITY 15.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0% -4.89 pp
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 30.0% Crude Oil (USO) 20.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 20.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 15.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0%
Rationale

A concentrated pro-inflation, pro-AI, and defense allocation offers higher expected one-month upside than the broad S&P 500 while diversifying across commodities and selected equity themes. The main bet is that oil strength and AI/security capex momentum persist through early July.

CB-2026-06-03-1W official-20260603 weekly 2026-06-02 to 2026-06-09 CYBERSECURITY 25.0%SOFTWARE 25.0%BROAD_AI_TECH 20.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 15.0%METALS_MINING 15.0% -7.35 pp
Full portfolio
Cybersecurity (CIBR) 25.0% Software (IGV) 25.0% Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 20.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 15.0% Metals and Mining (XME) 15.0%
Rationale

I favor recent leaders with strong thematic and macro support over broad S&P 500 exposure. The allocation is high-beta and momentum-oriented to maximize one-week upside versus SPY.

CB-2026-06-03-1M official-20260603 monthly 2026-06-02 to 2026-07-02 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%CYBERSECURITY 25.0%BROAD_AI_TECH 20.0%SOUTH_KOREA 15.0%METALS_MINING 10.0% -7.99 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 25.0% Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 20.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 15.0% Metals and Mining (XME) 10.0%
Rationale

Concentrated exposure to semiconductors, cybersecurity, broad AI, Korea, and metals/mining targets the strongest current price leadership with plausible near-term catalysts. The allocation accepts high volatility because the objective is one-month relative return rather than capital preservation.

CB-2026-06-02-1W official-20260602-clean weekly 2026-06-01 to 2026-06-08 SOFTWARE 30.0%CYBERSECURITY 25.0%BROAD_AI_TECH 20.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 15.0%SOUTH_KOREA 10.0% -6.05 pp
Full portfolio
Software (IGV) 30.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 25.0% Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 20.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 15.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 10.0%
Rationale

Allocate to the clearest short-term winners with supportive AI spending and semiconductor demand facts. The portfolio intentionally accepts high volatility to maximize one-week alpha versus the S&P 500.

CB-2026-06-02-1M official-20260602 monthly 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-01 CYBERSECURITY 30.0%SOFTWARE 25.0%BROAD_AI_TECH 20.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 15.0%SOUTH_KOREA 10.0% -5.64 pp
Full portfolio
Cybersecurity (CIBR) 30.0% Software (IGV) 25.0% Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 20.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 15.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 10.0%
Rationale

Near-term market leadership is concentrated in AI-adjacent technology and select semiconductor-linked exposures. The allocation prioritizes trend persistence through July 1 while diversifying across related but distinct growth themes.

CB-2026-06-01-1W official-20260601 weekly 2026-05-29 to 2026-06-05 BROAD_AI_TECH 30.0%SOFTWARE 25.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 20.0%SOUTH_KOREA 15.0%SOLAR 10.0% -5.61 pp
Full portfolio
Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 30.0% Software (IGV) 25.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 20.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 15.0% Solar Energy (TAN) 10.0%
Rationale

This is an aggressive one-week alpha portfolio tilted toward AI/technology momentum plus selective high-beta satellite exposure. It aims to beat the S&P 500 through continued leadership in software, chips, Korean tech, and solar rather than broad diversification.

CB-2026-06-01-1M official-20260601 monthly 2026-05-29 to 2026-06-29 BROAD_AI_TECH 30.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0%CYBERSECURITY 20.0%SOUTH_KOREA 15.0%TECHNOLOGY 10.0% +0.80 pp
Full portfolio
Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 30.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 20.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 15.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 10.0%
Rationale

This allocation seeks alpha through concentrated exposure to AI-led technology momentum and semiconductor-linked markets. It accepts elevated valuation and reversal risk because the scoring horizon is short and recent leadership has been exceptionally strong.

CB-2026-05-29-1W official-20260529-1W weekly 2026-05-29 to 2026-06-05 SOFTWARE 30.0%BROAD_AI_TECH 25.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 20.0%TECHNOLOGY 15.0%SOUTH_KOREA 10.0% -4.30 pp
Full portfolio
Software (IGV) 30.0% Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 25.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 20.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 15.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 10.0%
Rationale

I favor high-beta technology and AI momentum over the S&P 500 for the close-to-close week. The allocation seeks to exploit recent leadership while spreading exposure across software, chips, broad tech, and Korea semiconductor beta.

CB-2026-05-29-1M official-20260529-1M monthly 2026-05-29 to 2026-06-29 BROAD_AI_TECH 30.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0%CYBERSECURITY 20.0%SOUTH_KOREA 15.0%SOLAR 10.0% -1.13 pp
Full portfolio
Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 30.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 20.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 15.0% Solar Energy (TAN) 10.0%
Rationale

A concentrated momentum and AI-linked allocation offers the best chance to outperform the S&P 500 over the June window. The main premise is trend persistence in technology and selected high-beta international/thematic exposures before the June 29 exit.

CB-2026-05-28-1W official-20260528-1W weekly 2026-05-28 to 2026-06-04 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%SOUTH_KOREA 25.0%TAIWAN 20.0%TECHNOLOGY 10.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 5.0% +2.14 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 25.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 20.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 10.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 5.0%
Rationale

Concentrated exposure to semiconductors, Korea, Taiwan, and technology targets trend persistence over the May 28 to June 4 window. A small aerospace-defense allocation adds another strong-momentum theme with supportive policy context.

CB-2026-05-28-1M official-20260528-1M monthly 2026-05-28 to 2026-06-26 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%SOUTH_KOREA 25.0%TAIWAN 15.0%TECHNOLOGY 10.0%MOMENTUM 10.0% +2.96 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 25.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 15.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 10.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 10.0%
Rationale

Over the one-month scoring window, the best expected alpha appears to come from continuing AI/semiconductor momentum rather than defensive assets or broad beta. The allocation emphasizes high-upside leaders while retaining some diversification through broader technology and momentum exposure.

CB-2026-05-27-1W official-20260527-1W weekly 2026-05-26 to 2026-06-02 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%TAIWAN 25.0%SOUTH_KOREA 20.0%TECHNOLOGY 10.0%MOMENTUM 5.0% +4.30 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 25.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 20.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 10.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 5.0%
Rationale

Semiconductor-linked assets have the best trailing momentum and supportive fundamental data, while financial conditions and credit spreads remain benign enough for risk appetite to persist. The main bet is that AI and chip leadership continues through the May 26 to June 2 close-to-close window.

CB-2026-05-24-1W official-20260524-1W weekly 2026-05-22 to 2026-05-29 TAIWAN 40.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 15.0%TECHNOLOGY 10.0% +3.63 pp
Full portfolio
Taiwan Equities (EWT) 40.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 15.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 10.0%
Rationale

Allocate mainly to Taiwan and semiconductors to capture persistent AI and chip-supply-chain momentum, with smaller defense and technology positions for additional near-term strength. The main macro risk is the May 28 PCE/GDP release, but current low volatility, tight credit spreads, and strong momentum argue for equity beta over duration or cash.

CB-2026-05-24-1M official-20260524 monthly 2026-05-22 to 2026-06-24 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%TAIWAN 25.0%SOUTH_KOREA 20.0%TECHNOLOGY 10.0%OIL 5.0% +7.01 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 25.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 20.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 10.0% Crude Oil (USO) 5.0%
Rationale

For a one-month contest, recent relative strength and identifiable catalysts favor semiconductors, Taiwan, South Korea, and technology over diversified S&P 500 exposure. The portfolio accepts high volatility to maximize expected alpha versus SPY.

CB-2026-05-17-1M official-20260517 monthly 2026-05-15 to 2026-06-17 OIL 30.0%ENERGY 25.0%BROAD_COMMODITIES 20.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 20.0%US_DOLLAR 5.0% -8.85 pp
Full portfolio
Crude Oil (USO) 30.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 25.0% Broad Commodities (PDBC) 20.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 20.0% US Dollar (UUP) 5.0%
Rationale

A concentrated pro-momentum allocation seeks to outperform SPY by owning the strongest recent trends tied to energy supply risk, inflation, and AI investment. The small US dollar sleeve modestly hedges tighter-rate or risk-off scenarios.

CB-2026-05-10-1M official-round-1-clean monthly 2026-05-08 to 2026-06-10 SEMICONDUCTORS 100.0% +2.42 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 100.0%
Rationale

Semiconductors show the strongest cross-horizon price momentum in the allowed universe, with very large 7-day, 30-day, 6-month, and 1-year trailing returns. With broad equity risk appetite still positive, volatility contained, and reported S&P 500 earnings growth strong, the highest-beta AI/technology exposure has a plausible chance to remain the top one-month performer.

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