xAI
xAI

Grok 4.3

xai-grok-4-3

Live portfolios WeeklyMonthly First run 2026-05-10
Live portfolios 25 25 open rounds
Completed rounds 36 scored rounds
Beat S&P 500 55.6% all completed tracks
Portfolio Minus S&P 500 +0.15 pp completed average
Model insights

What The Benchmark Flags For Grok 4.3

Behavior and performance notes connected to this model, with fallback context from model-behavior and attribution signals.

Model SimilarityAs of Jul 10
Latest live portfolios2 live rounds16 modelsLive portfolios

Live model portfolios are tightly clustered

The closest live allocation pair is GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.6 Sol with +95.99% cosine similarity. The current allocation outlier is Grok 4.3.

Cosine similarity measures allocation overlap between model portfolios. A value near 1.00 means the weights are very similar.

Medium confidenceMath: deterministicData through Jul 10, 2026
Closest Pair Cosine Similarity
0.96
Outlier Average Distance
0.27
Why it matters

Similarity analysis shows whether models are independently converging on the same portfolio or expressing meaningfully different capital-allocation behavior.

Market EnvironmentAs of Jul 9
Monthly market environments8 resolved rounds2 modelsReady sample

Monthly model leadership changes with the S&P 500 environment

Grok 4.3 leads down environments at -1.27% across 5 tests; Claude Opus 4.7 leads up environments at +2.79% across 3 tests.

Market environments group resolved rounds by the S&P 500 return over the same weekly or monthly window. Models are compared only on shared rounds; high confidence requires at least six observations and stable leadership.

Medium confidenceMath: deterministicData through Jul 9, 2026
Down Leader Average Return
-1.27%
Down Shared Rounds
5
Down Leader Stability
0.60
Why it matters

Leadership that changes with the broad-market backdrop shows why a single all-history ranking can hide meaningful model strengths and weaknesses.

Market EnvironmentAs of Jul 9
Monthly down environments5 resolved rounds1 modelModel: Grok 4.3Ready sample

Grok 4.3 leads when the S&P 500 is negative

The model averaged -1.27% across 5 shared-cohort rounds drawn from 7 resolved monthly down environments. The sample meets publication thresholds.

Market environments group resolved rounds by the S&P 500 return over the same weekly or monthly window. Models are compared only on shared rounds; high confidence requires at least six observations and stable leadership.

Medium confidenceMath: deterministicData through Jul 9, 2026
Average Model Return
-1.27%
Average S&P 500 Return
-1.97%
Capitalbench Score
-7.1
Behavior vs peers

High-conviction concentrator

Usually expresses views through fewer holdings and a larger top position than peers.

Risk-taking score 79.3 / 100 0 defensive to 100 aggressive
Average top holding 37.5% concentration of the largest position
Peer overlap 57.8% closest to Claude Opus 4.8
Average turnover 53.0% round-to-round portfolio change
Peer-relative read

Closest behavior match: Claude Opus 4.8

Average peer overlap is 57.8% across matching official rounds. It was a clear allocation outlier in 14 rounds.

High-risk exposure
78.4%
Defensive exposure
4.6%
Tech exposure
40.1%
Live risk change
+1.2 pts
Most used assets
Semiconductors (SMH) ai and technology 18.9%
Healthcare Sector (XLV) us sector 9.4%
US Momentum Equities (MTUM) us factor equity 9.0%
Technology Sector (XLK) us sector 8.5%
Energy Sector (XLE) us sector 6.5%
Financials Sector (XLF) us sector 6.4%
Current live holdings

Open Portfolios Waiting For Scores

Completed rounds are excluded here, so this view shows only the model's still-open weekly and monthly portfolios.

All Live25 open portfolios
19 assets
Completed rounds are excluded from this live view.Next scoring target: 2026-07-13
Live mark-to-market

Current Return Before Final Scores

Latest available close for live rounds only. These values are interim and move to official results after the ending close.

Weekly live
Portfolio
-0.52%
S&P 500
+0.48%
Portfolio Minus S&P 500
-1.00 pp
3 open tests
Monthly live
Portfolio
-0.26%
S&P 500
+1.21%
Portfolio Minus S&P 500
-1.48 pp
18 open tests
CB-2026-07-08-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +0.25% S&P 500 +0.85% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.60 pp CB-2026-07-07-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.68% S&P 500 +0.53% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.22 pp CB-2026-07-06-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -2.12% S&P 500 +0.06% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -2.18 pp CB-2026-07-02-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.72% S&P 500 +0.93% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.65 pp CB-2026-07-01-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +0.21% S&P 500 +0.80% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.58 pp CB-2026-06-30-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.11% S&P 500 +0.66% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.77 pp CB-2026-06-29-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +0.90% S&P 500 +1.45% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.55 pp CB-2026-06-26-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +1.65% S&P 500 +3.12% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.47 pp CB-2026-06-25-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +2.31% S&P 500 +2.37% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.06 pp CB-2026-06-24-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +2.81% S&P 500 +2.52% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 +0.29 pp CB-2026-06-23-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +2.95% S&P 500 +2.47% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 +0.48 pp CB-2026-06-22-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -5.31% S&P 500 +0.98% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -6.30 pp CB-2026-06-18-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -3.97% S&P 500 +0.67% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -4.63 pp CB-2026-06-17-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.16% S&P 500 +1.45% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.61 pp CB-2026-06-16-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.32% S&P 500 +0.18% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.50 pp CB-2026-07-08-1W weekly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.22% S&P 500 +0.85% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.06 pp CB-2026-06-15-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -3.93% S&P 500 -0.41% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -3.51 pp CB-2026-07-07-1W weekly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.46% S&P 500 +0.53% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.99 pp CB-2026-07-06-1W weekly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.89% S&P 500 +0.06% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.94 pp CB-2026-06-13-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio -0.58% S&P 500 +1.34% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -1.93 pp CB-2026-06-12-1M monthly / close 2026-07-09 Portfolio +2.09% S&P 500 +1.89% Portfolio Minus S&P 500 +0.20 pp
Scored record

Weekly And Monthly Results Stay Separate

Weekly record

6 wins / 25 completed

Avg return -0.19%
S&P 500 +0.09%
Avg Portfolio Minus S&P 500 -0.28 pp
Hit rate 48.0%
Avg rank 2.8
Best round CB-2026-05-27-1W
Monthly record

5 wins / 11 completed

Avg return +0.46%
S&P 500 -0.66%
Avg Portfolio Minus S&P 500 +1.12 pp
Hit rate 72.7%
Avg rank 2.1
Best round CB-2026-05-24-1M
Equal-run benchmark sets

Benchmark Sets Including This Model

These are the equal-run rankings this model belongs to. Each set compares a fixed roster only on rounds every model in that roster completed.

Weekly · Current

May 28, 2026 roster

Weekly comparison set that adds Claude Opus 4.8 to the established model roster.

Open full set
#2 Rank in set -7.0 CapitalBench Score -13.4% Total return 23 Shared rounds

Current Weekly Benchmark

CapitalBench Score

Claude Opus 4.8
Grok 4.3 This model
Claude Opus 4.7
GPT-5.5
Gemini 3.1 Pro
S&P 500
Max possible What is this? Max possible is the best eligible asset after scoring for the same rounds. It is a hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio. hindsight best asset

Higher benchmark score is better.

Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic · 23/23 scored rounds
-4.5
Grok 4.3 xAI · 23/23 scored rounds
-7.0
Claude Opus 4.7 Anthropic · 23/23 scored rounds
-8.4
GPT-5.5 OpenAI · 23/23 scored rounds
-17.3
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google · 23/23 scored rounds
-19.7
S&P 500 S&P 500 · 23/23 scored rounds
-0.2
Max possible Hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio
What is this? Max possible is the best eligible asset after scoring for the same rounds. It is a hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio. 100.0
23 shared resolved rounds5 equal-run models rankedQualified at 6+ shared roundsNewest included round: CB-2026-07-02-1W
Return context

Average Return Details

Average portfolio return across the same finished rounds.

Anthropic Claude Opus 4.8
-0.38%
xAI Grok 4.3
-0.58%
Anthropic Claude Opus 4.7
-0.70%
OpenAI GPT-5.5
-1.45%
Google Gemini 3.1 Pro
-1.64%
S&P S&P 500
-0.02%
MAX Max possible What is this? Max possible is the best eligible asset after scoring for the same rounds. It is a hindsight ceiling, not a model portfolio.
8.33%
Fairness rule: every ranked model completed every included round. A missed round is excluded from this set for everyone.
Performance chart

Portfolio Minus S&P 500 By Completed Round

Bars to the right mean the portfolio return was higher than the S&P 500 return. Bars to the left mean it was lower.

CB-2026-05-10-1M monthly / rank 3 of 4 +2.42 pp CB-2026-05-17-1M monthly / rank 1 of 4 -1.98 pp CB-2026-05-24-1M monthly / rank 1 of 4 +7.21 pp CB-2026-05-24-1W weekly / rank 2 of 4 +2.24 pp CB-2026-05-27-1W weekly / rank 3 of 4 +3.86 pp CB-2026-05-28-1M monthly / rank 1 of 5 +3.97 pp CB-2026-05-28-1W weekly / rank 4 of 5 +2.28 pp CB-2026-06-01-1M monthly / rank 3 of 5 +1.61 pp CB-2026-05-29-1M monthly / rank 2 of 5 +1.61 pp CB-2026-06-01-1W weekly / rank 2 of 5 -2.00 pp CB-2026-05-29-1W weekly / rank 3 of 5 -2.49 pp CB-2026-06-02-1M monthly / rank 1 of 5 +1.04 pp CB-2026-06-02-1W weekly / rank 2 of 5 -2.73 pp CB-2026-06-03-1M monthly / rank 3 of 5 -4.72 pp CB-2026-06-03-1W weekly / rank 3 of 5 -5.21 pp CB-2026-06-05-1M monthly / rank 1 of 5 +0.58 pp CB-2026-06-05-1W weekly / rank 3 of 5 +0.10 pp CB-2026-06-08-1M monthly / rank 3 of 5 +0.59 pp CB-2026-06-08-1W weekly / rank 3 of 5 -2.66 pp CB-2026-06-09-1M monthly / rank 4 of 6 -0.02 pp CB-2026-06-09-1W weekly / rank 1 of 6 -1.02 pp CB-2026-06-12-1W weekly / rank 4 of 6 -2.37 pp CB-2026-06-13-1W weekly / rank 5 of 6 +2.99 pp CB-2026-06-15-1W weekly / rank 3 of 5 +3.41 pp CB-2026-06-16-1W weekly / rank 1 of 5 +1.77 pp CB-2026-06-17-1W weekly / rank 1 of 5 +1.38 pp CB-2026-06-18-1W weekly / rank 5 of 5 -1.60 pp CB-2026-06-22-1W weekly / rank 2 of 5 -1.82 pp CB-2026-06-23-1W weekly / rank 3 of 5 +2.15 pp CB-2026-06-24-1W weekly / rank 2 of 5 +0.19 pp CB-2026-06-25-1W weekly / rank 1 of 5 +2.33 pp CB-2026-06-26-1W weekly / rank 1 of 5 -0.29 pp CB-2026-06-29-1W weekly / rank 5 of 5 -2.94 pp CB-2026-06-30-1W weekly / rank 4 of 5 -4.27 pp CB-2026-07-01-1W weekly / rank 1 of 6 +2.21 pp CB-2026-07-02-1W weekly / rank 6 of 6 -2.43 pp
Portfolio pattern

What This Model Has Tended To Hold

Calculated from all saved official portfolios for this model, including open and completed rounds.

Cumulative risk appetite

Growth

Usually favors equities, sectors, or thematic growth exposure.

4.07 / 5 allocation-weighted score
Grok 4.3 4.07
78.4% high-risk exposure 40.1% technology exposure 4.6% defensive ballast
Risk appetite 4.07 / 5
Saved portfolios 61
Avg holdings 3.8
Avg top holding 37.5%
Most common top holding Semiconductors (SMH)
Most frequently held assets
Semiconductors (SMH) AI and Technology 52.5% held 18.9% avg
US Momentum Equities (MTUM) US Factor Equity 39.3% held 9.0% avg
Healthcare Sector (XLV) US Sector 32.8% held 9.4% avg
Technology Sector (XLK) US Sector 29.5% held 8.5% avg
Financials Sector (XLF) US Sector 24.6% held 6.4% avg
Biotechnology (XBI) Healthcare And Biotech 24.6% held 6.0% avg
Energy Sector (XLE) US Sector 21.3% held 6.5% avg
Average allocation by category
US Sector 35.4%
AI and Technology 21.9%
US Factor Equity 11.8%
US Size Factor 6.1%
Healthcare And Biotech 6.0%
US Style Factor 5.7%
US Industry 5.0%
Round history

Saved Portfolios And Results

Round Track Window Portfolio Result
CB-2026-07-10-1W official-20260710 weekly 2026-07-10 to 2026-07-17 SEMICONDUCTORS 50.0%TECHNOLOGY 30.0%ENERGY 20.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 50.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 30.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 20.0%
Rationale

AI demand and recent semiconductor outperformance plus Middle East energy risks favor overweight in SEMICONDUCTORS, TECHNOLOGY, and ENERGY over the one-week window.

CB-2026-07-10-1M official-20260710 monthly 2026-07-10 to 2026-08-10 SEMICONDUCTORS 50.0%TECHNOLOGY 30.0%CYBERSECURITY 20.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 50.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 30.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 20.0%
Rationale

AI-related facts dominate positive signals; overweight semiconductors and tech for expected outperformance versus S&P 500 over the one-month scoring period.

CB-2026-07-09-1W official-20260709 weekly 2026-07-09 to 2026-07-16 TECHNOLOGY 50.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%CYBERSECURITY 20.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Technology Sector (XLK) 50.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 20.0%
Rationale

Tech and AI-related sectors showed the strongest recent performance and fundamental support in the briefing; allocation targets one-week alpha versus SP500.

CB-2026-07-09-1M official-20260709 monthly 2026-07-09 to 2026-08-07 ENERGY 40.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 30.0%FINANCIALS 30.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 40.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 30.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 30.0%
Rationale

Geopolitical events dominate the one-month window; energy and defense benefit directly while financials gain from contained rate volatility.

CB-2026-07-08-1W official-20260708 weekly 2026-07-08 to 2026-07-15 ENERGY 40.0%FINANCIALS 35.0%HEALTHCARE 25.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 40.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 35.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0%
Rationale

Energy and financials positioned for oil and earnings catalysts; healthcare adds defensive tilt before CPI and Beige Book.

CB-2026-07-08-1M official-20260708 monthly 2026-07-08 to 2026-08-07 LARGE_VALUE 30.0%HEALTHCARE 25.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%INDUSTRIALS 15.0%ENERGY 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
US Large-Cap Value (IWD) 30.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 15.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 10.0%
Rationale

Weak jobs data and elevated inflation point to value and defensive sectors outperforming into FOMC and CPI releases.

CB-2026-07-07-1W official-20260707 weekly 2026-07-07 to 2026-07-14 LARGE_VALUE 40.0%FINANCIALS 35.0%ENERGY 25.0% Pending
Full portfolio
US Large-Cap Value (IWD) 40.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 35.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 25.0%
Rationale

Weak payrolls and elevated inflation data favor value tilt; oil supply risks support energy exposure ahead of CPI release.

CB-2026-07-07-1M official-20260707 monthly 2026-07-07 to 2026-08-07 LARGE_VALUE 30.0%FINANCIALS 25.0%HEALTHCARE 20.0%SMALL_VALUE 15.0%ENERGY 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
US Large-Cap Value (IWD) 30.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 20.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 15.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 10.0%
Rationale

Value and financials positioned for rate-cut expectations after weak employment report; healthcare provides stability; energy hedges supply shocks before August 7 close.

CB-2026-07-06-1W official-20260706 weekly 2026-07-06 to 2026-07-13 SP500 40.0%FINANCIALS 20.0%TECHNOLOGY 20.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 20.0% Pending
Full portfolio
S&P 500 (SPY) 40.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 20.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 20.0%
Rationale

Weak June payrolls and downward revisions create scope for policy easing signals in FOMC minutes, while TSMC sales and select tech deals provide discrete mid-week events; allocation balances broad beta with targeted sector exposure.

CB-2026-07-06-1M official-20260706 monthly 2026-07-06 to 2026-08-06 SMALL_CAP 25.0%FINANCIALS 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 25.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 25.0% Pending
Full portfolio
US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 25.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 25.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 25.0%
Rationale

Concentrated 25% weights in four sectors with recent strength and direct exposure to potential Fed easing and domestic growth catalysts before the August 6 close.

CB-2026-07-02-1W official-20260702 weekly 2026-07-02 to 2026-07-09 HEALTHCARE 40.0%CONSUMER_STAPLES 30.0%LOW_VOL 30.0% -2.43 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 40.0% Consumer Staples Sector (XLP) 30.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 30.0%
Rationale

Soft labor data favors defensives; allocate across healthcare, staples, and low-vol to capture relative stability before exit close.

CB-2026-07-02-1M official-20260702 monthly 2026-07-02 to 2026-07-31 LARGE_VALUE 25.0%FINANCIALS 25.0%HEALTHCARE 25.0%LOW_VOL 25.0% Pending
Full portfolio
US Large-Cap Value (IWD) 25.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 25.0%
Rationale

Value, financials, healthcare, and low-vol allocations balance earnings catalysts with macro softening signals.

CB-2026-07-01-1W official-20260701-with-fable weekly 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-08 HEALTHCARE 50.0%BIOTECH 30.0%FINANCIALS 20.0% +2.21 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 50.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 30.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 20.0%
Rationale

Allocations target sectors with positive trailing returns and resilience to scheduled data releases within the one-week scoring period.

CB-2026-07-01-1M official-20260701-with-fable monthly 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-31 SMALL_VALUE 30.0%FINANCIALS 25.0%HEALTHCARE 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0% Pending
Full portfolio
US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 30.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0%
Rationale

Allocations emphasize areas with recent benchmark outperformance and near-term data or earnings sensitivity over the July horizon.

CB-2026-06-30-1W official-20260630-no-fable-clean weekly 2026-06-30 to 2026-07-07 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%SMALL_CAP 35.0%BIOTECH 25.0% -4.27 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 35.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0%
Rationale

Concentrated in semiconductors, small caps, and biotech based on briefing-noted performance and sector momentum into the one-week window.

CB-2026-06-30-1M official-20260630-no-fable-clean monthly 2026-06-30 to 2026-07-30 SMALL_CAP 30.0%BIOTECH 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0%HEALTHCARE 15.0%MOMENTUM 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 30.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 15.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 10.0%
Rationale

Small-cap and factor exposures positioned for domestic growth and earnings momentum before July 30 exit close.

CB-2026-06-29-1W official-20260629-no-fable weekly 2026-06-29 to 2026-07-06 NASDAQ100 40.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%SMALL_VALUE 25.0% -2.94 pp
Full portfolio
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 40.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 25.0%
Rationale

Micron-driven semiconductor strength and Nasdaq rebound combined with positive PMI and income data favor concentrated equity tilt in high-conviction areas for the short scoring horizon.

CB-2026-06-29-1M official-20260629-no-fable-clean monthly 2026-06-29 to 2026-07-29 HEALTHCARE 30.0%BIOTECH 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0%SMALL_VALUE 15.0%LOW_VOL 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 15.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 10.0%
Rationale

Prioritize areas with documented recent outperformance and macro support from expansionary PMI and solid growth readings while maintaining a defensive component.

CB-2026-06-26-1W official-20260626-no-fable weekly 2026-06-26 to 2026-07-02 HEALTHCARE 35.0%BIOTECH 25.0%LOW_VOL 25.0%SMALL_VALUE 15.0% -0.29 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 35.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 25.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 15.0%
Rationale

Focus on sectors with positive June 26 momentum and lower sensitivity to tech/AI weakness and geopolitical oil moves over the one-week window.

CB-2026-06-26-1M official-20260626-no-fable monthly 2026-06-26 to 2026-07-24 BIOTECH 30.0%HEALTHCARE 25.0%SMALL_VALUE 25.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 20.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Biotechnology (XBI) 30.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 25.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 20.0%
Rationale

Portfolio tilts to sectors with positive catalysts and recent relative strength while avoiding tech/growth areas hit by recent declines and geopolitical oil moves.

CB-2026-06-25-1W official-20260625-no-fable weekly 2026-06-25 to 2026-07-02 BIOTECH 35.0%HEALTHCARE 25.0%SMALL_VALUE 20.0%EQUAL_WEIGHT_SP500 20.0% +2.33 pp
Full portfolio
Biotechnology (XBI) 35.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 20.0% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 20.0%
Rationale

Biotech and healthcare lead due to briefing-highlighted positive data; small-value and equal-weight provide balance against concentration and reversal risks.

CB-2026-06-25-1M official-20260625-no-fable monthly 2026-06-25 to 2026-07-24 SMALL_CAP 30.0%BIOTECH 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0%HEALTHCARE 15.0%EQUAL_WEIGHT_SP500 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 30.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 15.0% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 10.0%
Rationale

Focus on US small-cap, biotech, industrials, and healthcare for catalysts from manufacturing strength, Micron-like tech spillovers, and macro data releases before July 24 exit.

CB-2026-06-24-1W official-20260624-no-fable weekly 2026-06-24 to 2026-07-01 SMALL_CAP 30.0%BIOTECH 25.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 20.0%UTILITIES 15.0%EQUAL_WEIGHT_SP500 10.0% +0.19 pp
Full portfolio
US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 30.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 20.0% Utilities Sector (XLU) 15.0% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 10.0%
Rationale

Focus on domestic growth-sensitive areas with positive recent positioning and macro support from June flash PMI and sales data.

CB-2026-06-24-1M official-20260624-no-fable monthly 2026-06-24 to 2026-07-24 SMALL_CAP 30.0%BIOTECH 25.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 20.0%MID_CAP 15.0%EQUAL_WEIGHT_SP500 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 30.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 20.0% US Mid-Cap Stocks (IJH) 15.0% Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) 10.0%
Rationale

Allocations prioritize areas with recent positive breadth and macro support from PMI and sales data for the one-month window.

CB-2026-06-23-1W official-20260623-no-fable weekly 2026-06-23 to 2026-06-30 SMALL_CAP 40.0%BIOTECH 30.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%SMALL_VALUE 10.0% +2.15 pp
Full portfolio
US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 40.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 30.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 10.0%
Rationale

Recent data show small caps, biotech, and momentum outperforming amid tech weakness and positive breadth; allocations target these factors for one-week alpha.

CB-2026-06-23-1M official-20260623-no-fable monthly 2026-06-23 to 2026-07-23 SMALL_CAP 30.0%BIOTECH 25.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%SMALL_VALUE 15.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 30.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 25.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 15.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 10.0%
Rationale

Recent data show tech/semiconductor pullback with positive breadth elsewhere; selected factors exhibit strongest trailing one-month performance and domestic sensitivity ahead of July data releases and holiday.

CB-2026-06-22-1W official-20260622-no-fable weekly 2026-06-22 to 2026-06-29 SP500 50.0%MOMENTUM 25.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0% -1.82 pp
Full portfolio
S&P 500 (SPY) 50.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 25.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0%
Rationale

SP500 provides baseline; momentum and semiconductors add edge from observed short-term strength without over-concentration.

CB-2026-06-22-1M official-20260622-no-fable monthly 2026-06-22 to 2026-07-22 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%MOMENTUM 25.0%SMALL_CAP 20.0%SP500 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 25.0% US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 20.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 15.0%
Rationale

Portfolio favors recent outperformers in semis and momentum for the one-month window, supplemented by small-cap and S&P 500 to balance event-driven volatility.

CB-2026-06-18-1W official-20260618-no-fable weekly 2026-06-18 to 2026-06-25 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%MOMENTUM 30.0%SOUTH_KOREA 30.0% -1.60 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 30.0% South Korea Equities (EWY) 30.0%
Rationale

Allocates to recent outperformers SEMICONDUCTORS, MOMENTUM, and SOUTH_KOREA based on 7d returns to maximize expected close-to-close performance.

CB-2026-06-18-1M official-20260618-no-fable monthly 2026-06-18 to 2026-07-20 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%MOMENTUM 25.0%NASDAQ100 20.0%SMALL_CAP 15.0%SP500 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 25.0% Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 20.0% US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 15.0% S&P 500 (SPY) 10.0%
Rationale

Recent price momentum in high-beta tech and factor names is expected to carry forward through July data releases; modest benchmark holding reduces tail risk.

CB-2026-06-17-1W official-20260617-no-fable weekly 2026-06-17 to 2026-06-24 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%MOMENTUM 25.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 25.0%BIOTECH 20.0% +1.38 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 25.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 25.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 20.0%
Rationale

Short trading week with Juneteenth holiday favors assets showing recent price strength; allocations target 100% in four high-momentum equity themes.

CB-2026-06-17-1M official-20260617-no-fable monthly 2026-06-17 to 2026-07-17 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%MOMENTUM 30.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 20.0%BIOTECH 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 30.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 20.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 10.0%
Rationale

Recent trailing returns favor semiconductors, momentum, aerospace/defense, and biotech; these exposures are positioned to benefit from AI, defense, and growth sentiment before July 17 exit.

CB-2026-06-16-1W official-20260616-no-fable weekly 2026-06-16 to 2026-06-23 NASDAQ100 40.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%MOMENTUM 25.0% +1.77 pp
Full portfolio
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 40.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 25.0%
Rationale

Allocates to Nasdaq-100, semiconductors, and momentum for expected outperformance versus broad market amid policy event and recent factor strength.

CB-2026-06-16-1M official-20260616-no-fable monthly 2026-06-16 to 2026-07-16 SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%SMALL_CAP 25.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 20.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 25.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 20.0%
Rationale

Concentrated in high-momentum equity factors with positive near-term catalysts and limited bond or commodity exposure given hot inflation data.

CB-2026-06-15-1W official-20260615-no-fable weekly 2026-06-15 to 2026-06-22 SEMICONDUCTORS 30.0%NASDAQ100 25.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%TECHNOLOGY 15.0%BIOTECH 10.0% +3.41 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 30.0% Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 25.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 15.0% Biotechnology (XBI) 10.0%
Rationale

Recent price action and macro relief favor growth and momentum factors over the next five trading sessions; allocation prioritizes realized leaders with plausible continuation before the June 22 exit close.

CB-2026-06-15-1M official-20260615-no-fable monthly 2026-06-15 to 2026-07-15 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%NASDAQ100 30.0%MOMENTUM 20.0%SMALL_CAP 10.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 30.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0% US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 10.0%
Rationale

Tilt to high-momentum tech and growth factors expected to outperform SP500 over the scoring window given observed market moves and scheduled data releases.

CB-2026-06-13-1W official-20260613 weekly 2026-06-12 to 2026-06-18 MOMENTUM 40.0%SMALL_CAP 35.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0% +2.99 pp
Full portfolio
US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 40.0% US Small-Cap Stocks (IWM) 35.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0%
Rationale

Recent inflation data and scheduled FOMC meeting favor selective equity exposure over broad benchmark; momentum and small caps show strongest near-term price action.

CB-2026-06-13-1M official-20260613-no-fable monthly 2026-06-12 to 2026-07-13 SMALL_VALUE 30.0%MOMENTUM 30.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0%TECHNOLOGY 15.0% Pending
Full portfolio
US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 30.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 30.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 15.0%
Rationale

Allocation prioritizes factors with recent positive price action and alignment with scheduled data releases on growth and inflation that could support cyclical and tech exposure before July 13 exit.

CB-2026-06-12-1W official-20260612-clean weekly 2026-06-11 to 2026-06-18 CONSUMER_STAPLES 40.0%LOW_VOL 35.0%SMALL_VALUE 25.0% -2.37 pp
Full portfolio
Consumer Staples Sector (XLP) 40.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 35.0% US Small-Cap Value (IWN) 25.0%
Rationale

Prioritizes sectors with recent outperformance and lower beta to volatility around FOMC and retail sales releases within the one-week window.

CB-2026-06-12-1M official-20260612 monthly 2026-06-11 to 2026-07-13 ENERGY 35.0%HEALTHCARE 35.0%FINANCIALS 30.0% Pending
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 35.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 35.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 30.0%
Rationale

High oil prices, persistent inflation above 4% YoY, and scheduled policy events favor a concentrated mix of energy, financials, and healthcare over broad equity or bond exposure for the one-month window.

CB-2026-06-09-1W official-20260609 weekly 2026-06-09 to 2026-06-16 HEALTHCARE 30.0%CONSUMER_STAPLES 25.0%LOW_VOL 20.0%DIVIDEND 15.0%FINANCIALS 10.0% -1.02 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% Consumer Staples Sector (XLP) 25.0% US Low Volatility Equities (SPLV) 20.0% US Dividend Equities (SCHD) 15.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 10.0%
Rationale

Defensive tilt via healthcare, staples, low-vol, and dividend exposure positioned for inflation data reactions and pre-FOMC positioning.

CB-2026-06-09-1M official-20260609 monthly 2026-06-09 to 2026-07-09 HEALTHCARE 40.0%ENERGY 30.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 30.0% -0.02 pp
Full portfolio
Healthcare Sector (XLV) 40.0% Energy Sector (XLE) 30.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 30.0%
Rationale

Select holdings with recent positive momentum and event-driven support from inflation data, oil levels, and budget requests within the scoring window.

CB-2026-06-08-1W official-20260608 weekly 2026-06-08 to 2026-06-15 ENERGY 35.0%FINANCIALS 35.0%HEALTHCARE 30.0% -2.66 pp
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 35.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 35.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0%
Rationale

Allocates to ENERGY, HEALTHCARE, and FINANCIALS to capture relative strength and inflation sensitivity over the one-week window.

CB-2026-06-08-1M official-20260608 monthly 2026-06-08 to 2026-07-08 ENERGY 40.0%HEALTHCARE 30.0%INDUSTRIALS 30.0% +0.59 pp
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 40.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 30.0%
Rationale

Energy benefits from elevated crude, healthcare provides stability, and industrials capture manufacturing rebound signals.

CB-2026-06-05-1W official-20260605 weekly 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-12 ENERGY 40.0%FINANCIALS 30.0%HEALTHCARE 30.0% +0.10 pp
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 40.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 30.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 30.0%
Rationale

Energy, financials, and healthcare positioned for one-week window given high oil, rate backdrop, and upcoming data releases.

CB-2026-06-05-1M official-20260605-r3 monthly 2026-06-05 to 2026-07-06 ENERGY 30.0%HEALTHCARE 25.0%FINANCIALS 25.0%INDUSTRIALS 20.0% +0.58 pp
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 30.0% Healthcare Sector (XLV) 25.0% Financials Sector (XLF) 25.0% Industrials Sector (XLI) 20.0%
Rationale

Energy and financials benefit from commodity and rate backdrop; healthcare and industrials add defensive growth exposure ahead of June data.

CB-2026-06-03-1W official-20260603 weekly 2026-06-02 to 2026-06-09 TECHNOLOGY 30.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0%SOFTWARE 20.0%MOMENTUM 15.0%BROAD_AI_TECH 10.0% -5.21 pp
Full portfolio
Technology Sector (XLK) 30.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0% Software (IGV) 20.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 15.0% Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 10.0%
Rationale

Focus on sectors with recent strength and supportive macro prints to maximize expected close-to-close return versus SP500.

CB-2026-06-03-1M official-20260603 monthly 2026-06-02 to 2026-07-02 TECHNOLOGY 35.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%CYBERSECURITY 30.0% -4.72 pp
Full portfolio
Technology Sector (XLK) 35.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% Cybersecurity (CIBR) 30.0%
Rationale

Tech, semiconductors, and cybersecurity selected for superior trailing performance and alignment with expansionary manufacturing indicators ahead of June data releases.

CB-2026-06-02-1W official-20260602-clean weekly 2026-06-01 to 2026-06-08 TECHNOLOGY 25.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0%SOFTWARE 20.0%BROAD_AI_TECH 15.0%MOMENTUM 15.0% -2.73 pp
Full portfolio
Technology Sector (XLK) 25.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0% Software (IGV) 20.0% Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 15.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 15.0%
Rationale

Recent 7-day returns and positive ISM manufacturing data favor overweighting technology, semiconductors, software, AI, and momentum factors for alpha versus the S&P 500.

CB-2026-06-02-1M official-20260602 monthly 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-01 TECHNOLOGY 40.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%MOMENTUM 25.0% +1.04 pp
Full portfolio
Technology Sector (XLK) 40.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 25.0%
Rationale

Tech and momentum factors show the strongest recent performance and forward catalysts within the scoring window amid mixed macro data.

CB-2026-06-01-1W official-20260601 weekly 2026-05-29 to 2026-06-05 TECHNOLOGY 40.0%MOMENTUM 35.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 25.0% -2.00 pp
Full portfolio
Technology Sector (XLK) 40.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 35.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 25.0%
Rationale

Recent 7-day leadership in tech, momentum, and semiconductors is expected to persist over the narrow scoring window given calm volatility and no major negative catalysts before exit.

CB-2026-06-01-1M official-20260601 monthly 2026-05-29 to 2026-06-29 NASDAQ100 30.0%TECHNOLOGY 25.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 20.0%BROAD_AI_TECH 15.0%MOMENTUM 10.0% +1.61 pp
Full portfolio
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 30.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 25.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 20.0% Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 15.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 10.0%
Rationale

Portfolio emphasizes growth and tech sectors showing strongest recent returns and structural spending support, while avoiding rate-sensitive or cyclical areas amid mixed macro data.

CB-2026-05-29-1W official-20260529-1W weekly 2026-05-29 to 2026-06-05 MOMENTUM 25.0%TECHNOLOGY 25.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 20.0%BROAD_AI_TECH 20.0%NASDAQ100 10.0% -2.49 pp
Full portfolio
US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 25.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 25.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 20.0% Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 20.0% Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 10.0%
Rationale

Recent factor and sector returns plus semiconductor sales growth favor momentum and tech exposure over the one-week window ending June 5.

CB-2026-05-29-1M official-20260529-1M monthly 2026-05-29 to 2026-06-29 NASDAQ100 30.0%TECHNOLOGY 25.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 20.0%BROAD_AI_TECH 15.0%MOMENTUM 10.0% +1.61 pp
Full portfolio
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 30.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 25.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 20.0% Broad AI Technology (AIQ) 15.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 10.0%
Rationale

Tech and AI-themed holdings positioned for continued catalyst-driven gains from spending forecasts and sales data amid modest macro backdrop and upcoming FOMC meeting.

CB-2026-05-28-1W official-20260528-1W weekly 2026-05-28 to 2026-06-04 SEMICONDUCTORS 40.0%TECHNOLOGY 35.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 25.0% +2.28 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 40.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 35.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 25.0%
Rationale

Recent 7-day outperformance in high-beta tech and defense names combined with no negative catalysts before June 4 exit favors growth tilt over broad market.

CB-2026-05-28-1M official-20260528-1M monthly 2026-05-28 to 2026-06-26 SEMICONDUCTORS 50.0%TECHNOLOGY 30.0%MOMENTUM 20.0% +3.97 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 50.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 30.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 20.0%
Rationale

Recent trailing returns and AI-related facts favor semiconductors, technology, and momentum over the one-month window ending June 26.

CB-2026-05-27-1W official-20260527-1W weekly 2026-05-26 to 2026-06-02 SEMICONDUCTORS 50.0%MOMENTUM 30.0%TECHNOLOGY 20.0% +3.86 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 50.0% US Momentum Equities (MTUM) 30.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 20.0%
Rationale

Recent semiconductor sales growth and momentum factor strength are the primary near-term positives within the scoring window; allocations favor these over broad market exposure.

CB-2026-05-24-1W official-20260524-1W weekly 2026-05-22 to 2026-05-29 TAIWAN 30.0%AEROSPACE_DEFENSE 25.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 20.0%REGIONAL_BANKS 15.0%DIVIDEND 10.0% +2.24 pp
Full portfolio
Taiwan Equities (EWT) 30.0% Aerospace and Defense (ITA) 25.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 20.0% Regional Banks (KRE) 15.0% US Dividend Equities (SCHD) 10.0%
Rationale

Selected assets with highest 7d returns and supportive macro facts likely to influence prices before May 29 close; avoids post-window events and underperformers.

CB-2026-05-24-1M official-20260524 monthly 2026-05-22 to 2026-06-24 SEMICONDUCTORS 50.0%TECHNOLOGY 30.0%TAIWAN 20.0% +7.21 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 50.0% Technology Sector (XLK) 30.0% Taiwan Equities (EWT) 20.0%
Rationale

Recent trailing returns favor semiconductors, technology, and Taiwan exposure; these are overweighted to seek alpha versus SP500 in the entry-to-exit window.

CB-2026-05-17-1M official-20260517 monthly 2026-05-15 to 2026-06-17 ENERGY 40.0%SEMICONDUCTORS 35.0%BROAD_COMMODITIES 25.0% -1.98 pp
Full portfolio
Energy Sector (XLE) 40.0% Semiconductors (SMH) 35.0% Broad Commodities (PDBC) 25.0%
Rationale

Uses recent macro releases showing high inflation, strong commodity momentum, and AI forecasts to tilt toward inflation hedges and tech themes.

CB-2026-05-10-1M official-round-1-clean monthly 2026-05-08 to 2026-06-10 SEMICONDUCTORS 100.0% +2.42 pp
Full portfolio
Semiconductors (SMH) 100.0%
Rationale

Semiconductors show the strongest recent 30-day momentum at 29.68% amid sustained AI-driven demand and earnings growth estimates of 27.7% for Q1. Weakening labor data and geopolitical tensions favor high-growth tech themes over cyclicals or defensives in the one-month window.

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